Polymarket traders' razor-thin split between $4,600-$5,000 (30%) and $4,200-$4,600 (23.7%) reflects gold futures (GC June '26) hovering near $4,600-$4,700 amid subdued real 10-year Treasury yields around 1.6% and ongoing central bank purchases, with global institutions netting +19 tonnes in February for a 23-month streak. A recent rebound to $4,714 followed a fragile Middle East truce and softer dollar, countering Fed caution that has slashed June rate-cut odds to ~4%, keeping upside capped below $5,000 consensus forecasts like UBS's $6,200 target. Key swing factors include May CPI data and the June FOMC, where persistent inflation could pressure prices toward the lower bin, while escalating geopolitics favors higher settlement.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডজুন মাসে গোল্ড (GC) কী স্থির হবে?
জুন মাসে গোল্ড (GC) কী স্থির হবে?
$৪,৬০০-$৫,০০০ 30%
$৪,২০০-$৪,৬০০ 23.7%
$5,000-$5,400 15.3%
$৩,৮০০-$৪,২০০ 14.3%
$923,494 Vol.
$923,494 Vol.
$3,800-এর নিচে
2%
$৩,৮০০-$৪,২০০
14%
$৪,২০০-$৪,৬০০
24%
$৪,৬০০-$৫,০০০
30%
$5,000-$5,400
15%
$5,400-$5,800
6%
$5,800-$6,200
3%
>$৬,২০০
2%
$৪,৬০০-$৫,০০০ 30%
$৪,২০০-$৪,৬০০ 23.7%
$5,000-$5,400 15.3%
$৩,৮০০-$৪,২০০ 14.3%
$923,494 Vol.
$923,494 Vol.
$3,800-এর নিচে
2%
$৩,৮০০-$৪,২০০
14%
$৪,২০০-$৪,৬০০
24%
$৪,৬০০-$৫,০০০
30%
$5,000-$5,400
15%
$5,400-$5,800
6%
$5,800-$6,200
3%
>$৬,২০০
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders' razor-thin split between $4,600-$5,000 (30%) and $4,200-$4,600 (23.7%) reflects gold futures (GC June '26) hovering near $4,600-$4,700 amid subdued real 10-year Treasury yields around 1.6% and ongoing central bank purchases, with global institutions netting +19 tonnes in February for a 23-month streak. A recent rebound to $4,714 followed a fragile Middle East truce and softer dollar, countering Fed caution that has slashed June rate-cut odds to ~4%, keeping upside capped below $5,000 consensus forecasts like UBS's $6,200 target. Key swing factors include May CPI data and the June FOMC, where persistent inflation could pressure prices toward the lower bin, while escalating geopolitics favors higher settlement.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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