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icon for X data center fire confirmed arson before July?
기술·빅 테크

X data center fire confirmed arson before July?

icon for X data center fire confirmed arson before July?
기술·빅 테크

X data center fire confirmed arson before July?

<1% 확률
Polymarket

$9,195 거래량

<1% 확률
Polymarket

$9,195 거래량

A fire broke out on the morning of May 22, 2025, at a data center in Hillsboro, Oregon, leased by Elon Musk’s company X (formerly Twitter). (see: https://www.wired.com/story/elon-musk-x-datacenter-fire/) This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming the fire at the X data center in Hillsboro, Oregon, involved foul play is released by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from any U.S. government agency indicating that there was foul play will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from any U.S. government agency, law enforcement agencies, or courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

A fire broke out on the morning of May 22, 2025, at a data center in Hillsboro, Oregon, leased by Elon Musk’s company X (formerly Twitter). (see: https://www.wired.com/story/elon-musk-x-datacenter-fire/)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming the fire at the X data center in Hillsboro, Oregon, involved foul play is released by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Statements from any U.S. government agency indicating that there was foul play will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from any U.S. government agency, law enforcement agencies, or courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$9,195
종료일
2025.06.30
마켓 개설일
May 23, 2025, 12:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
A fire broke out on the morning of May 22, 2025, at a data center in Hillsboro, Oregon, leased by Elon Musk’s company X (formerly Twitter). (see: https://www.wired.com/story/elon-musk-x-datacenter-fire/) This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming the fire at the X data center in Hillsboro, Oregon, involved foul play is released by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from any U.S. government agency indicating that there was foul play will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from any U.S. government agency, law enforcement agencies, or courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

결과 제안됨: No

이의 없음

최종 결과: No

A fire broke out on the morning of May 22, 2025, at a data center in Hillsboro, Oregon, leased by Elon Musk’s company X (formerly Twitter). (see: https://www.wired.com/story/elon-musk-x-datacenter-fire/) This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming the fire at the X data center in Hillsboro, Oregon, involved foul play is released by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from any U.S. government agency indicating that there was foul play will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from any U.S. government agency, law enforcement agencies, or courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

A fire broke out on the morning of May 22, 2025, at a data center in Hillsboro, Oregon, leased by Elon Musk’s company X (formerly Twitter). (see: https://www.wired.com/story/elon-musk-x-datacenter-fire/)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming the fire at the X data center in Hillsboro, Oregon, involved foul play is released by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Statements from any U.S. government agency indicating that there was foul play will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from any U.S. government agency, law enforcement agencies, or courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$9,195
종료일
2025.06.30
마켓 개설일
May 23, 2025, 12:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
A fire broke out on the morning of May 22, 2025, at a data center in Hillsboro, Oregon, leased by Elon Musk’s company X (formerly Twitter). (see: https://www.wired.com/story/elon-musk-x-datacenter-fire/) This market will resolve to “Yes” if definitive evidence confirming the fire at the X data center in Hillsboro, Oregon, involved foul play is released by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Statements from any U.S. government agency indicating that there was foul play will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from any U.S. government agency, law enforcement agencies, or courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

결과 제안됨: No

이의 없음

최종 결과: No

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"X data center fire confirmed arson before July?"은 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 이 이벤트가 발생할 것인지에 따라 "Yes" 또는 "No" 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 크라우드소싱 확률은 "Yes"에 대해 0%입니다. 예를 들어 "Yes"가 0¢에 거래되면 마켓은 이 이벤트가 발생할 확률을 0%로 부여합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

"X data center fire confirmed arson before July?"은 Polymarket에서 새로 생성된 마켓입니다, May 23, 2025에 시작됨. 초기 마켓으로서 확률을 설정하고 마켓의 초기 가격 신호를 수립하는 첫 번째 트레이더 중 하나가 될 기회입니다. 이 페이지를 북마크하여 마켓이 성장함에 따라 거래량과 거래 활동을 추적할 수도 있습니다.

"X data center fire confirmed arson before July?"에서 거래하려면 답이 "Yes"인지 "No"인지 선택하세요. 각 쪽에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 반영하는 현재 가격이 있습니다. 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. "Yes" 주식을 매수하고 결과가 "Yes"로 정산되면 각 주식은 $1을 지급합니다. "No"로 정산되면 "Yes" 주식은 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"X data center fire confirmed arson before July?"의 현재 확률은 "Yes"에 대해 0%입니다. 이는 Polymarket 크라우드가 현재 이 이벤트가 발생할 확률을 0%로 보고 있음을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 실제 거래에 기반하여 실시간으로 업데이트되어 마켓이 기대하는 바에 대한 지속적으로 업데이트되는 신호를 제공합니다.

"X data center fire confirmed arson before July?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.