When will GPT-5 be announced?
Q2 100.0%
2025 or later 100.0%
Q3 <1%
Q4 <1%
$1,426,068 Vol.
$1,426,068 Vol.
Jun 30, 2024
Q2
$82,405 Vol.
No
Q2
$82,405 Vol.
No
Q3
$354,246 Vol.
No
Q3
$354,246 Vol.
No
Q4
$571,862 Vol.
No
Q4
$571,862 Vol.
No
2025 or later
$417,554 Vol.
Yes
2025 or later
$417,554 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI announces the completion of ChatGPT-5 and/or GPT-5 between April 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only official publicly issued communications from OpenAI will count towards this market's resolution. Unofficial statements or interviews by board members or employees, including Sam Altman, will not suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
If it is announced that GPT-5 is completed before this market's timeframe begins, this market may immediately resolve to "No". Otherwise, it may not resolve to "No" until its end time has passed and the completion of GPT-5 has not been announced.
GPT-5 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-5, or is a successor to GPT-4 in the way that GPT-4 was a successor to GPT-3. GPT-4.5 or such products will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official OpenAI communications from its website https://openai.com/.This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI announces the completion of ChatGPT-5 and/or GPT-5 between April 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only official publicly issued communications from OpenAI will count towards this market's resolution. Unofficial statements or interviews by board members or employees, including Sam Altman, will not suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
If it is announced that GPT-5 is completed before this market's timeframe begins, this market may immediately resolve to "No". Otherwise, it may not resolve to "No" until its end time has passed and the completion of GPT-5 has not been announced.
GPT-5 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-5, or is a successor to GPT-4 in the way that GPT-4 was a successor to GPT-3. GPT-4.5 or such products will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official OpenAI communications from its website https://openai.com/.
Only official publicly issued communications from OpenAI will count towards this market's resolution. Unofficial statements or interviews by board members or employees, including Sam Altman, will not suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
If it is announced that GPT-5 is completed before this market's timeframe begins, this market may immediately resolve to "No". Otherwise, it may not resolve to "No" until its end time has passed and the completion of GPT-5 has not been announced.
GPT-5 refers to a product that is explicitly named GPT-5, or is a successor to GPT-4 in the way that GPT-4 was a successor to GPT-3. GPT-4.5 or such products will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official OpenAI communications from its website https://openai.com/.
생성일: Apr 2, 2024, 11:59 AM ET
볼륨
$1,426,068종료일
Dec 30, 2024생성일
Apr 2, 2024, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...제안된 결과: No
이의 없음
최종 결과: No
When will GPT-5 be announced?
Q2 100.0%
2025 or later 100.0%
Q3 <1%
Q4 <1%
$1,426,068 Vol.
$1,426,068 Vol.
Jun 30, 2024
Q2
$82,405 Vol.
No
Q3
$354,246 Vol.
No
Q4
$571,862 Vol.
No
2025 or later
$417,554 Vol.
Yes
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