Drake's confirmation of the ICEMAN album release for May 15 via a massive Toronto ice sculpture stunt—uncovered by streamers on April 21—has sparked intense hype, driving Polymarket traders to favor lyrical mentions rooted in his catalog and rivalries. Kendrick/Lamar leads at 60% implied probability, fueled by the lingering 2024 diss track feud with Kendrick Lamar that defined recent hip-hop narratives and could resurface in bars or samples. Trump/Obama trails closely at 49%, reflecting Drake's penchant for political pop culture nods amid 2026 election buzz, while meta picks like Polymarket sit lower despite high volume. Resolution awaits official Spotify transcripts post-drop, with low liquidity signaling speculative positioning ahead of the full tracklist reveal.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트What will be said on ICEMAN?
What will be said on ICEMAN?
Trump / Obama
53%
Kendrick / Lamar
63%
Super Bowl
21%
Six Seven
46%
Nuclear / Nuke
53%
Pinocchio
39%
Russia
40%
2026
56%
Batman
47%
No No No
45%
Armani
14%
Polymarket
26%
Caleb
50%
Toronto
55%
Kanye
42%
Virgil
57%
Epstein
11%
Covid
9%
Daddy
44%
Delilah
42%
Timothee / Kylie
42%
LeBron / Bronny
44%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
42%
Crypto / Bitcoin
45%
$979 거래량
Trump / Obama
53%
Kendrick / Lamar
63%
Super Bowl
21%
Six Seven
46%
Nuclear / Nuke
53%
Pinocchio
39%
Russia
40%
2026
56%
Batman
47%
No No No
45%
Armani
14%
Polymarket
26%
Caleb
50%
Toronto
55%
Kanye
42%
Virgil
57%
Epstein
11%
Covid
9%
Daddy
44%
Delilah
42%
Timothee / Kylie
42%
LeBron / Bronny
44%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
42%
Crypto / Bitcoin
45%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone on the specified transcript for any track on the officially released full "ICEMAN" album. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
Samples or clips of audio where people are speaking or singing which are included in the album will qualify toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript. AI-generated audio will count toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript.
In the case a term is censored on a relevant transcript, audio may be consulted to verify that a qualifying mention occurred.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the initial release of the full album on a qualifying streaming platform. Releases consisting only of individual songs or remixes released later will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the audio transcripts for this album provided by the listed streaming platforms in the following order of priority: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, Amazon Music, Tidal (e.g., Spotify will be used unless it does not provide a necessary transcript, then Apple Music will be used, etc.).
If no such album is released in full by by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to based on what has been released up to that point. If the album is not released on any of the listed platforms by the specified end date, this market will resolve to "No".
마켓 개설일: Apr 22, 2026, 4:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone on the specified transcript for any track on the officially released full "ICEMAN" album. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
Samples or clips of audio where people are speaking or singing which are included in the album will qualify toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript. AI-generated audio will count toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript.
In the case a term is censored on a relevant transcript, audio may be consulted to verify that a qualifying mention occurred.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the initial release of the full album on a qualifying streaming platform. Releases consisting only of individual songs or remixes released later will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the audio transcripts for this album provided by the listed streaming platforms in the following order of priority: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, Amazon Music, Tidal (e.g., Spotify will be used unless it does not provide a necessary transcript, then Apple Music will be used, etc.).
If no such album is released in full by by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to based on what has been released up to that point. If the album is not released on any of the listed platforms by the specified end date, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Drake's confirmation of the ICEMAN album release for May 15 via a massive Toronto ice sculpture stunt—uncovered by streamers on April 21—has sparked intense hype, driving Polymarket traders to favor lyrical mentions rooted in his catalog and rivalries. Kendrick/Lamar leads at 60% implied probability, fueled by the lingering 2024 diss track feud with Kendrick Lamar that defined recent hip-hop narratives and could resurface in bars or samples. Trump/Obama trails closely at 49%, reflecting Drake's penchant for political pop culture nods amid 2026 election buzz, while meta picks like Polymarket sit lower despite high volume. Resolution awaits official Spotify transcripts post-drop, with low liquidity signaling speculative positioning ahead of the full tracklist reveal.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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