Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 89.5% implied probability for Sean "Diddy" Combs' release from custody in 2026, driven by Federal Bureau of Prisons records projecting his freedom no earlier than April 15, 2028, following a 50-month sentence for two counts of transportation to engage in prostitution after his 2025 conviction. Recent adjustments in March advanced the date slightly from June 2028 due to good behavior credits, but kept him at low-security FCI Fort Dix through year-end, reinforcing the market's positioning amid repeated pretrial bail denials. His legal team's First Amendment appeal, with an oral arguments hearing set for early April, introduces slim upset potential, though historical patterns in high-profile federal cases suggest prolonged detention absent extraordinary relief. Public sentiment remains shaped by trial revelations, limiting sympathy for early exit.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트디디가 2026년에 구금에서 풀려났나요?
디디가 2026년에 구금에서 풀려났나요?
예
신규
신규
2026.12.31
예
신규
신규
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean "Diddy" Combs is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 89.5% implied probability for Sean "Diddy" Combs' release from custody in 2026, driven by Federal Bureau of Prisons records projecting his freedom no earlier than April 15, 2028, following a 50-month sentence for two counts of transportation to engage in prostitution after his 2025 conviction. Recent adjustments in March advanced the date slightly from June 2028 due to good behavior credits, but kept him at low-security FCI Fort Dix through year-end, reinforcing the market's positioning amid repeated pretrial bail denials. His legal team's First Amendment appeal, with an oral arguments hearing set for early April, introduces slim upset potential, though historical patterns in high-profile federal cases suggest prolonged detention absent extraordinary relief. Public sentiment remains shaped by trial revelations, limiting sympathy for early exit.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean "Diddy" Combs is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
거래량
$1,077종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean "Diddy" Combs is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 89.5% implied probability for Sean "Diddy" Combs' release from custody in 2026, driven by Federal Bureau of Prisons records projecting his freedom no earlier than April 15, 2028, following a 50-month sentence for two counts of transportation to engage in prostitution after his 2025 conviction. Recent adjustments in March advanced the date slightly from June 2028 due to good behavior credits, but kept him at low-security FCI Fort Dix through year-end, reinforcing the market's positioning amid repeated pretrial bail denials. His legal team's First Amendment appeal, with an oral arguments hearing set for early April, introduces slim upset potential, though historical patterns in high-profile federal cases suggest prolonged detention absent extraordinary relief. Public sentiment remains shaped by trial revelations, limiting sympathy for early exit.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean "Diddy" Combs is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$1,077종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 89.5% implied probability for Sean "Diddy" Combs' release from custody in 2026, driven by Federal Bureau of Prisons records projecting his freedom no earlier than April 15, 2028, following a 50-month sentence for two counts of transportation to engage in prostitution after his 2025 conviction. Recent adjustments in March advanced the date slightly from June 2028 due to good behavior credits, but kept him at low-security FCI Fort Dix through year-end, reinforcing the market's positioning amid repeated pretrial bail denials. His legal team's First Amendment appeal, with an oral arguments hearing set for early April, introduces slim upset potential, though historical patterns in high-profile federal cases suggest prolonged detention absent extraordinary relief. Public sentiment remains shaped by trial revelations, limiting sympathy for early exit.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문