Texas's 32nd congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in 2025, shifting its partisan balance to favor Republicans by roughly eight points on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and earning "Solid Republican" ratings from major forecasters. The Democratic incumbent relocated to another district, leaving an open seat. Republican Jace Yarbrough, endorsed by President Trump, secured the GOP nomination after the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Dan Barrios won his party's primary. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the revised district lines and lack of competitive Democratic infrastructure have anchored trader consensus around a Republican victory, though outcomes remain subject to turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$26,275 거래량
$26,275 거래량
2026.11.04
공화당
75%
민주당
25%
$26,275 거래량
$26,275 거래량
2026.11.04
공화당
$25,875 거래량
75%
민주당
$400 거래량
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 32nd congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in 2025, shifting its partisan balance to favor Republicans by roughly eight points on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and earning "Solid Republican" ratings from major forecasters. The Democratic incumbent relocated to another district, leaving an open seat. Republican Jace Yarbrough, endorsed by President Trump, secured the GOP nomination after the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Dan Barrios won his party's primary. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the revised district lines and lack of competitive Democratic infrastructure have anchored trader consensus around a Republican victory, though outcomes remain subject to turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
거래량
$26,275종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 32nd congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in 2025, shifting its partisan balance to favor Republicans by roughly eight points on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and earning "Solid Republican" ratings from major forecasters. The Democratic incumbent relocated to another district, leaving an open seat. Republican Jace Yarbrough, endorsed by President Trump, secured the GOP nomination after the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Dan Barrios won his party's primary. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the revised district lines and lack of competitive Democratic infrastructure have anchored trader consensus around a Republican victory, though outcomes remain subject to turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$26,275종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 32nd congressional district underwent mid-decade redistricting in 2025, shifting its partisan balance to favor Republicans by roughly eight points on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and earning "Solid Republican" ratings from major forecasters. The Democratic incumbent relocated to another district, leaving an open seat. Republican Jace Yarbrough, endorsed by President Trump, secured the GOP nomination after the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Dan Barrios won his party's primary. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the revised district lines and lack of competitive Democratic infrastructure have anchored trader consensus around a Republican victory, though outcomes remain subject to turnout patterns and any late-cycle developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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