Trader consensus heavily favors President Trump completing his term past 2027, with "No" at 83.5%, driven by Republican majorities in the House and Senate that block impeachment paths requiring simple House passage and two-thirds Senate conviction. Recent Democratic resolutions, such as Rep. Jamie Raskin's April 14 bill for a 25th Amendment commission and calls from dozens of lawmakers after Trump's early April Iran threats and ceasefire announcement, have gained no procedural traction amid GOP opposition. Viral health rumors around Easter weekend were swiftly debunked by the White House, with no confirmed issues. VP JD Vance and cabinet loyalty further insulate against invocation, while 2026 midterms loom but offer limited time for reversal before year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$7,198,290 거래량
$7,198,290 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$7,198,290 거래량
$7,198,290 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors President Trump completing his term past 2027, with "No" at 83.5%, driven by Republican majorities in the House and Senate that block impeachment paths requiring simple House passage and two-thirds Senate conviction. Recent Democratic resolutions, such as Rep. Jamie Raskin's April 14 bill for a 25th Amendment commission and calls from dozens of lawmakers after Trump's early April Iran threats and ceasefire announcement, have gained no procedural traction amid GOP opposition. Viral health rumors around Easter weekend were swiftly debunked by the White House, with no confirmed issues. VP JD Vance and cabinet loyalty further insulate against invocation, while 2026 midterms loom but offer limited time for reversal before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
거래량
$7,198,290종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus heavily favors President Trump completing his term past 2027, with "No" at 83.5%, driven by Republican majorities in the House and Senate that block impeachment paths requiring simple House passage and two-thirds Senate conviction. Recent Democratic resolutions, such as Rep. Jamie Raskin's April 14 bill for a 25th Amendment commission and calls from dozens of lawmakers after Trump's early April Iran threats and ceasefire announcement, have gained no procedural traction amid GOP opposition. Viral health rumors around Easter weekend were swiftly debunked by the White House, with no confirmed issues. VP JD Vance and cabinet loyalty further insulate against invocation, while 2026 midterms loom but offer limited time for reversal before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$7,198,304종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Nov 5, 2025, 4:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors President Trump completing his term past 2027, with "No" at 83.5%, driven by Republican majorities in the House and Senate that block impeachment paths requiring simple House passage and two-thirds Senate conviction. Recent Democratic resolutions, such as Rep. Jamie Raskin's April 14 bill for a 25th Amendment commission and calls from dozens of lawmakers after Trump's early April Iran threats and ceasefire announcement, have gained no procedural traction amid GOP opposition. Viral health rumors around Easter weekend were swiftly debunked by the White House, with no confirmed issues. VP JD Vance and cabinet loyalty further insulate against invocation, while 2026 midterms loom but offer limited time for reversal before year-end.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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