Persistent inflation, with May 2026 CPI rising to 4.2% year-over-year amid energy shocks from geopolitical tensions, has kept the Federal Reserve on hold at the 3.50–3.75% federal funds target following the June 16–17 FOMC meeting. The S&P 500, recently trading near 7,420 after touching 7,621 in early June, faces headwinds from restrictive policy and moderating Q1 GDP growth of 1.6%, alongside unemployment near 4.3%. Analyst year-end 2026 targets cluster around 7,600, reflecting expectations for contained but elevated price pressures. Key upcoming catalysts include the July FOMC meeting, June CPI and employment data, and any shifts in monetary policy guidance that could alter rate-cut probabilities and equity valuations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$183,117 거래량
2026.12.31
↑ $9,300
6%
↑ $8,600
17%
↑ 8,200달러
34%
↑ 7,800달러
75%
↓ $6,200
32%
↓ $5,800
21%
↓ $5,200
12%
↓ $4,500
6%
$183,117 거래량
↑ $9,300
$3,563 거래량
6%
↑ $8,600
$13,646 거래량
17%
↑ 8,200달러
$5,572 거래량
34%
↑ 7,800달러
$4,921 거래량
75%
↓ $6,200
$26,969 거래량
32%
↓ $5,800
$23,506 거래량
21%
↓ $5,200
$29,589 거래량
12%
↓ $4,500
$24,659 거래량
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Persistent inflation, with May 2026 CPI rising to 4.2% year-over-year amid energy shocks from geopolitical tensions, has kept the Federal Reserve on hold at the 3.50–3.75% federal funds target following the June 16–17 FOMC meeting. The S&P 500, recently trading near 7,420 after touching 7,621 in early June, faces headwinds from restrictive policy and moderating Q1 GDP growth of 1.6%, alongside unemployment near 4.3%. Analyst year-end 2026 targets cluster around 7,600, reflecting expectations for contained but elevated price pressures. Key upcoming catalysts include the July FOMC meeting, June CPI and employment data, and any shifts in monetary policy guidance that could alter rate-cut probabilities and equity valuations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
마켓 개설일: Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
거래량
$183,117종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Persistent inflation, with May 2026 CPI rising to 4.2% year-over-year amid energy shocks from geopolitical tensions, has kept the Federal Reserve on hold at the 3.50–3.75% federal funds target following the June 16–17 FOMC meeting. The S&P 500, recently trading near 7,420 after touching 7,621 in early June, faces headwinds from restrictive policy and moderating Q1 GDP growth of 1.6%, alongside unemployment near 4.3%. Analyst year-end 2026 targets cluster around 7,600, reflecting expectations for contained but elevated price pressures. Key upcoming catalysts include the July FOMC meeting, June CPI and employment data, and any shifts in monetary policy guidance that could alter rate-cut probabilities and equity valuations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
거래량
$183,117종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETPersistent inflation, with May 2026 CPI rising to 4.2% year-over-year amid energy shocks from geopolitical tensions, has kept the Federal Reserve on hold at the 3.50–3.75% federal funds target following the June 16–17 FOMC meeting. The S&P 500, recently trading near 7,420 after touching 7,621 in early June, faces headwinds from restrictive policy and moderating Q1 GDP growth of 1.6%, alongside unemployment near 4.3%. Analyst year-end 2026 targets cluster around 7,600, reflecting expectations for contained but elevated price pressures. Key upcoming catalysts include the July FOMC meeting, June CPI and employment data, and any shifts in monetary policy guidance that could alter rate-cut probabilities and equity valuations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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