The S&P 500 recently closed at a record high near 7,023, rebounding sharply from early 2026 losses tied to US-Iran geopolitical tensions, as traders price in de-escalation and resilient corporate earnings momentum. Analyst consensus year-end 2026 targets cluster around 7,200–7,750, implying 3–10% upside from current levels, anchored by projected 12–13% earnings-per-share growth amid technology sector strength and moderating inflation. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on sustained economic expansion, though tempered by recession risks. Key catalysts ahead include the April 28–29 FOMC meeting for rate cut signals, Q1 earnings disclosures through May, and subsequent data like nonfarm payrolls shaping the index trajectory to December 31.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$53,206 거래량
2026.12.31
↑ $9,300
6%
↑ $8,600
11%
↑ 8,200달러
12%
↑ 7,800달러
28%
↑ $7,600
45%
↑ $7,400
54%
↓ $6,200
45%
↓ $5,800
46%
↓ $5,200
25%
↓ $4,500
16%
$53,206 거래량
↑ $9,300
$977 거래량
6%
↑ $8,600
$2,229 거래량
11%
↑ 8,200달러
$495 거래량
12%
↑ 7,800달러
$550 거래량
28%
↑ $7,600
$3,409 거래량
45%
↑ $7,400
$1,023 거래량
54%
↓ $6,200
$10,143 거래량
45%
↓ $5,800
$9,649 거래량
46%
↓ $5,200
$7,041 거래량
25%
↓ $4,500
$9,090 거래량
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 recently closed at a record high near 7,023, rebounding sharply from early 2026 losses tied to US-Iran geopolitical tensions, as traders price in de-escalation and resilient corporate earnings momentum. Analyst consensus year-end 2026 targets cluster around 7,200–7,750, implying 3–10% upside from current levels, anchored by projected 12–13% earnings-per-share growth amid technology sector strength and moderating inflation. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on sustained economic expansion, though tempered by recession risks. Key catalysts ahead include the April 28–29 FOMC meeting for rate cut signals, Q1 earnings disclosures through May, and subsequent data like nonfarm payrolls shaping the index trajectory to December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
마켓 개설일: Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
거래량
$53,206종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 recently closed at a record high near 7,023, rebounding sharply from early 2026 losses tied to US-Iran geopolitical tensions, as traders price in de-escalation and resilient corporate earnings momentum. Analyst consensus year-end 2026 targets cluster around 7,200–7,750, implying 3–10% upside from current levels, anchored by projected 12–13% earnings-per-share growth amid technology sector strength and moderating inflation. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on sustained economic expansion, though tempered by recession risks. Key catalysts ahead include the April 28–29 FOMC meeting for rate cut signals, Q1 earnings disclosures through May, and subsequent data like nonfarm payrolls shaping the index trajectory to December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
거래량
$53,206종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETThe S&P 500 recently closed at a record high near 7,023, rebounding sharply from early 2026 losses tied to US-Iran geopolitical tensions, as traders price in de-escalation and resilient corporate earnings momentum. Analyst consensus year-end 2026 targets cluster around 7,200–7,750, implying 3–10% upside from current levels, anchored by projected 12–13% earnings-per-share growth amid technology sector strength and moderating inflation. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on sustained economic expansion, though tempered by recession risks. Key catalysts ahead include the April 28–29 FOMC meeting for rate cut signals, Q1 earnings disclosures through May, and subsequent data like nonfarm payrolls shaping the index trajectory to December 31.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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