Recent upward revisions to Wall Street year-end 2026 targets, including Goldman Sachs lifting its S&P 500 forecast to 8,000 on May 27 amid stronger-than-expected corporate earnings growth, underpin the closely matched trader sentiment. With the index trading near 7,520 after a roughly 10% year-to-date advance, the 24% implied probabilities on both the $7,000–$7,500 and >$8,000 buckets reflect balanced views on whether AI-driven profit expansion and steady economic conditions can sustain momentum through year-end or if geopolitical tensions and inflation pressures prompt a consolidation. Upcoming earnings reports and any Federal Reserve communications remain key swing factors for resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트8,000달러 이상 25%
$7,000-$7,500 24%
$7,500~$8,000 21%
$6,000~$6,500 13%
$28,058 거래량
$28,058 거래량
2026.12.31
$6,000 미만
8%
$6,000~$6,500
13%
$6,500-$7,000
13%
$7,000-$7,500
24%
$7,500~$8,000
21%
8,000달러 이상
25%
8,000달러 이상 25%
$7,000-$7,500 24%
$7,500~$8,000 21%
$6,000~$6,500 13%
$28,058 거래량
$28,058 거래량
2026.12.31
$6,000 미만
$16,273 거래량
8%
$6,000~$6,500
$1,641 거래량
13%
$6,500-$7,000
$2,943 거래량
13%
$7,000-$7,500
$1,311 거래량
24%
$7,500~$8,000
$2,945 거래량
21%
8,000달러 이상
$2,946 거래량
25%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent upward revisions to Wall Street year-end 2026 targets, including Goldman Sachs lifting its S&P 500 forecast to 8,000 on May 27 amid stronger-than-expected corporate earnings growth, underpin the closely matched trader sentiment. With the index trading near 7,520 after a roughly 10% year-to-date advance, the 24% implied probabilities on both the $7,000–$7,500 and >$8,000 buckets reflect balanced views on whether AI-driven profit expansion and steady economic conditions can sustain momentum through year-end or if geopolitical tensions and inflation pressures prompt a consolidation. Upcoming earnings reports and any Federal Reserve communications remain key swing factors for resolution.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
마켓 개설일: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
거래량
$28,058종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Recent upward revisions to Wall Street year-end 2026 targets, including Goldman Sachs lifting its S&P 500 forecast to 8,000 on May 27 amid stronger-than-expected corporate earnings growth, underpin the closely matched trader sentiment. With the index trading near 7,520 after a roughly 10% year-to-date advance, the 24% implied probabilities on both the $7,000–$7,500 and >$8,000 buckets reflect balanced views on whether AI-driven profit expansion and steady economic conditions can sustain momentum through year-end or if geopolitical tensions and inflation pressures prompt a consolidation. Upcoming earnings reports and any Federal Reserve communications remain key swing factors for resolution.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
거래량
$28,058종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETRecent upward revisions to Wall Street year-end 2026 targets, including Goldman Sachs lifting its S&P 500 forecast to 8,000 on May 27 amid stronger-than-expected corporate earnings growth, underpin the closely matched trader sentiment. With the index trading near 7,520 after a roughly 10% year-to-date advance, the 24% implied probabilities on both the $7,000–$7,500 and >$8,000 buckets reflect balanced views on whether AI-driven profit expansion and steady economic conditions can sustain momentum through year-end or if geopolitical tensions and inflation pressures prompt a consolidation. Upcoming earnings reports and any Federal Reserve communications remain key swing factors for resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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