Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51.5% implied probability against a Perplexity IPO before 2028, driven by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 denial of near-term plans amid the AI search engine's hyper-growth phase, with no S-1 filing or public listing signals as of May 2026. Explosive revenue scaling to over $450 million ARR by April—up 50% in a single month via agentic tools like Perplexity Computer and Comet browser—has fueled private funding at $20-22 billion valuations, including a $200 million Series E-6 extension, prioritizing capital efficiency over public markets. Higher market-cap buckets like 50B–75B (14.1%) reflect optimism for premium AI multiples if an IPO materializes post-2028, tempered by competitive pressures from Google and OpenAI, ongoing publisher lawsuits, and volatile tech IPO windows. Watch for Q2 revenue updates or regulatory shifts in AI data usage.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2028년 이전 상장 없음 49%
500억~750억 달러 13.1%
750억–1,000억 9.6%
$200억 미만 6.5%
$139,912 거래량
$139,912 거래량
2027.12.31
$200억 미만
6%
200억–300억
5%
300억~400억
6%
400억–500억
8%
500억~750억 달러
13%
750억–1,000억
10%
1,000억+
6%
2028년 이전 상장 없음
44%
2028년 이전 상장 없음 49%
500억~750억 달러 13.1%
750억–1,000억 9.6%
$200억 미만 6.5%
$139,912 거래량
$139,912 거래량
2027.12.31
$200억 미만
$4,474 거래량
6%
200억–300억
$5,889 거래량
5%
300억~400억
$4,389 거래량
6%
400억–500억
$4,192 거래량
8%
500억~750억 달러
$6,236 거래량
13%
750억–1,000억
$3,386 거래량
10%
1,000억+
$4,864 거래량
6%
2028년 이전 상장 없음
$106,483 거래량
44%
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51.5% implied probability against a Perplexity IPO before 2028, driven by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 denial of near-term plans amid the AI search engine's hyper-growth phase, with no S-1 filing or public listing signals as of May 2026. Explosive revenue scaling to over $450 million ARR by April—up 50% in a single month via agentic tools like Perplexity Computer and Comet browser—has fueled private funding at $20-22 billion valuations, including a $200 million Series E-6 extension, prioritizing capital efficiency over public markets. Higher market-cap buckets like 50B–75B (14.1%) reflect optimism for premium AI multiples if an IPO materializes post-2028, tempered by competitive pressures from Google and OpenAI, ongoing publisher lawsuits, and volatile tech IPO windows. Watch for Q2 revenue updates or regulatory shifts in AI data usage.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
거래량
$139,912종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51.5% implied probability against a Perplexity IPO before 2028, driven by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 denial of near-term plans amid the AI search engine's hyper-growth phase, with no S-1 filing or public listing signals as of May 2026. Explosive revenue scaling to over $450 million ARR by April—up 50% in a single month via agentic tools like Perplexity Computer and Comet browser—has fueled private funding at $20-22 billion valuations, including a $200 million Series E-6 extension, prioritizing capital efficiency over public markets. Higher market-cap buckets like 50B–75B (14.1%) reflect optimism for premium AI multiples if an IPO materializes post-2028, tempered by competitive pressures from Google and OpenAI, ongoing publisher lawsuits, and volatile tech IPO windows. Watch for Q2 revenue updates or regulatory shifts in AI data usage.
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$139,912종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 5, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51.5% implied probability against a Perplexity IPO before 2028, driven by CEO Aravind Srinivas's explicit March 2025 denial of near-term plans amid the AI search engine's hyper-growth phase, with no S-1 filing or public listing signals as of May 2026. Explosive revenue scaling to over $450 million ARR by April—up 50% in a single month via agentic tools like Perplexity Computer and Comet browser—has fueled private funding at $20-22 billion valuations, including a $200 million Series E-6 extension, prioritizing capital efficiency over public markets. Higher market-cap buckets like 50B–75B (14.1%) reflect optimism for premium AI multiples if an IPO materializes post-2028, tempered by competitive pressures from Google and OpenAI, ongoing publisher lawsuits, and volatile tech IPO windows. Watch for Q2 revenue updates or regulatory shifts in AI data usage.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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