OpenAI’s accelerated IPO preparations, including confidential draft prospectus filings potentially as soon as late May 2026 with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, represent the primary catalyst shaping trader expectations for a filing this year. The company recently closed a $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion valuation and is targeting a potential September debut, though plans remain fluid amid ongoing revenue shortfalls, legal overhang from prior disputes, and CFO Sarah Friar’s prior cautions about public-market readiness. This momentum aligns with broader 2026 tech IPO pipelines and strong investor demand for AI exposure, while key near-term milestones such as regulatory feedback and final S-1 refinements could influence the precise timeline. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these execution risks and catalysts rather than certainties.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트OpenAI files IPO by...?
OpenAI files IPO by...?
신규
2026.06.06
May 22
6%
May 26
49%
May 29
54%
June 5
92%
$21 거래량
May 22
$50 거래량
6%
May 26
$0 거래량
49%
May 29
$0 거래량
54%
June 5
$21 거래량
92%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting.
A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s accelerated IPO preparations, including confidential draft prospectus filings potentially as soon as late May 2026 with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, represent the primary catalyst shaping trader expectations for a filing this year. The company recently closed a $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion valuation and is targeting a potential September debut, though plans remain fluid amid ongoing revenue shortfalls, legal overhang from prior disputes, and CFO Sarah Friar’s prior cautions about public-market readiness. This momentum aligns with broader 2026 tech IPO pipelines and strong investor demand for AI exposure, while key near-term milestones such as regulatory feedback and final S-1 refinements could influence the precise timeline. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these execution risks and catalysts rather than certainties.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting.
A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting.
A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
거래량
$21종료일
2026.06.06마켓 개설일
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting.
A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s accelerated IPO preparations, including confidential draft prospectus filings potentially as soon as late May 2026 with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, represent the primary catalyst shaping trader expectations for a filing this year. The company recently closed a $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion valuation and is targeting a potential September debut, though plans remain fluid amid ongoing revenue shortfalls, legal overhang from prior disputes, and CFO Sarah Friar’s prior cautions about public-market readiness. This momentum aligns with broader 2026 tech IPO pipelines and strong investor demand for AI exposure, while key near-term milestones such as regulatory feedback and final S-1 refinements could influence the precise timeline. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these execution risks and catalysts rather than certainties.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting.
A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting.
A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe.
The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$21종료일
2026.06.06마켓 개설일
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s accelerated IPO preparations, including confidential draft prospectus filings potentially as soon as late May 2026 with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, represent the primary catalyst shaping trader expectations for a filing this year. The company recently closed a $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion valuation and is targeting a potential September debut, though plans remain fluid amid ongoing revenue shortfalls, legal overhang from prior disputes, and CFO Sarah Friar’s prior cautions about public-market readiness. This momentum aligns with broader 2026 tech IPO pipelines and strong investor demand for AI exposure, while key near-term milestones such as regulatory feedback and final S-1 refinements could influence the precise timeline. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these execution risks and catalysts rather than certainties.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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