Mojtaba Khamenei, appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 after his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in US-Israeli strikes on February 28, has made no confirmed public appearances nearly two months later, fueling trader uncertainty in this prediction market. Official statements from Iranian officials and a Russian envoy on March 31 affirmed he remains in the country, healthy, and refraining from public view for security reasons amid the recent Iran-US-Israel war ceasefire, but no visual confirmations or scheduled addresses have emerged in the past 30 days. Persistent rumors of injury or AI-generated communications persist without evidence, while diplomatic tensions and regime stability concerns keep odds reflecting skepticism on near-term visibility; a major address or summit could shift sentiment rapidly.