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2026년 1월 온도 상승 (ºC)

1.05–1.09ºC 100.0%

<1.00ºC <1%

1.00–1.04ºC <1%

1.10–1.14ºC <1%

Polymarket

$1,054,169 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for January 2026 when it is released.

An anomaly within a named bracket for January 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for January 2026 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).

If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for January 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
볼륨
$1,054,169
종료일
Feb 10, 2026
생성일
Dec 29, 2025, 4:56 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for January 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for January 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for January 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jan" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for January 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

제안된 결과: 아니오

이의 없음

최종 결과: 아니오

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Market icon

2026년 1월 온도 상승 (ºC)

1.05–1.09ºC 100.0%

<1.00ºC <1%

1.00–1.04ºC <1%

1.10–1.14ºC <1%

Polymarket

$1,054,169 Vol.

<1.00ºC

$124,483 Vol.

아니오

1.00–1.04ºC

$195,558 Vol.

아니오

1.05–1.09ºC

$176,193 Vol.

1.10–1.14ºC

$185,917 Vol.

아니오

1.15–1.19ºC

$143,587 Vol.

아니오

>1.19ºC

$228,431 Vol.

아니오

외부 링크를 조심하십시오.