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DHS 셧다운은 얼마나 오래 지속되나요?

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DHS 셧다운은 얼마나 오래 지속되나요?

3월 14

3월 14

Polymarket

$1,438,463 거래량

Polymarket

$1,438,463 거래량

70일 이상

$31,448 거래량

93%

80일 이상

$32,427 거래량

82%

90일 이상

$39,266 거래량

74%

100일 이상

$173 거래량

25%

110일 이상

$90 거래량

22%

120일 이상

$200 거래량

52%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.A partial shutdown of the Department of Homeland Security, stemming from congressional impasse over Immigration and Customs Enforcement reforms and Customs and Border Protection funding, has lasted over 60 days as of April 19, 2026—the longest in U.S. history—disrupting TSA operations, Coast Guard pay, and cybersecurity planning at CISA while essential border security functions continue. Republican leaders like House Speaker Mike Johnson and Senate Majority Leader John Thune announced a two-track funding plan early April, endorsed by President Trump, separating core DHS from ICE/CBP via potential reconciliation, but the House adjourned without action post-Senate passage, extending the lapse through spring recess. Traders weigh ongoing partisan holdouts against whip counts for imminent floor votes and executive pay orders as key catalysts to resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,438,463
종료일
2026.03.14
마켓 개설일
Feb 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

결과 제안됨: 예

이의 없음

최종 결과: 예

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.A partial shutdown of the Department of Homeland Security, stemming from congressional impasse over Immigration and Customs Enforcement reforms and Customs and Border Protection funding, has lasted over 60 days as of April 19, 2026—the longest in U.S. history—disrupting TSA operations, Coast Guard pay, and cybersecurity planning at CISA while essential border security functions continue. Republican leaders like House Speaker Mike Johnson and Senate Majority Leader John Thune announced a two-track funding plan early April, endorsed by President Trump, separating core DHS from ICE/CBP via potential reconciliation, but the House adjourned without action post-Senate passage, extending the lapse through spring recess. Traders weigh ongoing partisan holdouts against whip counts for imminent floor votes and executive pay orders as key catalysts to resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$1,438,463
종료일
2026.03.14
마켓 개설일
Feb 15, 2026, 2:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Department of Homeland Security shutdown which began on February 14, 2026 lasts for at least the listed number of days, inclusive of the beginning and ending dates. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The end date of the shut down will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.

결과 제안됨: 예

이의 없음

최종 결과: 예

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"DHS 셧다운은 얼마나 오래 지속되나요?"은 18개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 100%의 "3일 이상"이며, 이어서 100%의 "5일 이상"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 100¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 100%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "DHS 셧다운은 얼마나 오래 지속되나요?"은 총 $1.4 million의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Feb 15, 2026에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"DHS 셧다운은 얼마나 오래 지속되나요?"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 18개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"DHS 셧다운은 얼마나 오래 지속되나요?"의 현재 유력 후보는 100%의 "3일 이상"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 100%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 100%의 "5일 이상"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"DHS 셧다운은 얼마나 오래 지속되나요?"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.