xAI continues rapid iteration on its Grok 4 series, with Grok 4.3 serving as the current flagship beta model featuring enhanced reasoning, tool use, and agentic capabilities since its April 2026 rollout. Earlier 2026 roadmaps from Elon Musk and internal updates pointed to Grok 4.4 as a near-term scale jump to roughly 1 trillion parameters, positioned after 4.3 refinements but ahead of larger Grok 5 variants training simultaneously on the Colossus cluster. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic's frequent releases has driven xAI's focus on frequent small updates and cost-efficient variants, while supply chain and compute scaling at the Memphis supercluster remain key constraints. Traders are watching for any June or Q3 announcements on 4.4 features or timelines that could shift release expectations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$20,938 거래량
2026.06.30
June 15
<1%
June 30
7%
7월 31일
70%
$20,938 거래량
June 15
$6,343 거래량
<1%
June 30
$12,568 거래량
7%
7월 31일
$737 거래량
70%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.xAI continues rapid iteration on its Grok 4 series, with Grok 4.3 serving as the current flagship beta model featuring enhanced reasoning, tool use, and agentic capabilities since its April 2026 rollout. Earlier 2026 roadmaps from Elon Musk and internal updates pointed to Grok 4.4 as a near-term scale jump to roughly 1 trillion parameters, positioned after 4.3 refinements but ahead of larger Grok 5 variants training simultaneously on the Colossus cluster. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic's frequent releases has driven xAI's focus on frequent small updates and cost-efficient variants, while supply chain and compute scaling at the Memphis supercluster remain key constraints. Traders are watching for any June or Q3 announcements on 4.4 features or timelines that could shift release expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: May 22, 2026, 12:34 PM ET
거래량
$20,938종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
May 22, 2026, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.xAI continues rapid iteration on its Grok 4 series, with Grok 4.3 serving as the current flagship beta model featuring enhanced reasoning, tool use, and agentic capabilities since its April 2026 rollout. Earlier 2026 roadmaps from Elon Musk and internal updates pointed to Grok 4.4 as a near-term scale jump to roughly 1 trillion parameters, positioned after 4.3 refinements but ahead of larger Grok 5 variants training simultaneously on the Colossus cluster. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic's frequent releases has driven xAI's focus on frequent small updates and cost-efficient variants, while supply chain and compute scaling at the Memphis supercluster remain key constraints. Traders are watching for any June or Q3 announcements on 4.4 features or timelines that could shift release expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4.4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Grok 4.4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.4, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to Grok 4.3, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1 (e.g., Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market).
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models or cost-efficiency variants will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation Grok 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$20,938종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
May 22, 2026, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...xAI continues rapid iteration on its Grok 4 series, with Grok 4.3 serving as the current flagship beta model featuring enhanced reasoning, tool use, and agentic capabilities since its April 2026 rollout. Earlier 2026 roadmaps from Elon Musk and internal updates pointed to Grok 4.4 as a near-term scale jump to roughly 1 trillion parameters, positioned after 4.3 refinements but ahead of larger Grok 5 variants training simultaneously on the Colossus cluster. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic's frequent releases has driven xAI's focus on frequent small updates and cost-efficient variants, while supply chain and compute scaling at the Memphis supercluster remain key constraints. Traders are watching for any June or Q3 announcements on 4.4 features or timelines that could shift release expectations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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