$177,242 거래량
2025.09.30
September 30
Yes
December 31
Yes
$177,242 거래량
September 30
$139,445 거래량
Yes
December 31
$37,797 거래량
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4 model is made available to the general public by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4 (e.g. Grok 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 3, similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4 (e.g. Grok 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 3, similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4 model is made available to the general public by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4 (e.g. Grok 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 3, similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4 (e.g. Grok 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 3, similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Jun 2, 2025, 6:14 PM ET
거래량
$177,242종료일
2025.12.31마켓 개설일
Jun 2, 2025, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 제기됨
결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 제기됨
최종 결과: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4 model is made available to the general public by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4 (e.g. Grok 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 3, similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4 (e.g. Grok 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 3, similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if xAI's Grok 4 model is made available to the general public by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4 (e.g. Grok 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 3, similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Grok 4 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
Grok 4 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4 (e.g. Grok 4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 3, similar to the progression from Grok 2 to Grok 3. Products labeled as Grok 3.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$177,242종료일
2025.12.31마켓 개설일
Jun 2, 2025, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 제기됨
결과 제안됨: Yes
이의 제기됨
최종 결과: Yes
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