France enters Group I as the clear frontrunner due to its superior squad depth, recent major tournament experience, and favorable schedule positioning against Iraq and Senegal before closing against Norway. Norway benefits from Erling Haaland’s scoring prowess and a balanced roster that has shown improved form in recent qualifiers, supporting its second-place implied probability. Senegal’s organized defense and experienced attackers like Sadio Mané provide a realistic path to advancement, though its opening fixture against France adds pressure. Iraq remains a distant outsider with limited resources and recent results against stronger opposition. Squad announcements across the European and African sides in the past week have confirmed key player availability, reinforcing current market pricing ahead of the June 16 opener.