Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 82% implied probability for Anthropic releasing Claude 4.7 on or before April 16, driven by a April 14 report from The Information stating the large language model and a new AI design tool could launch "as soon as this week." This follows preparatory signals like the Claude Code desktop app redesign with side-by-side sessions and voice commands, plus Mythos preview deployment achieving 77.8% on SWE-Bench Pro—far surpassing Claude Opus 4.6's 53.4%. Code leaks earlier referenced Opus 4.7, aligning with Anthropic's pattern of tooling upgrades before model drops. While no official announcement has surfaced today, traders anticipate resolution imminent, with April 17 at 9.6% amid typical rapid iteration in AI model releases.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트2026년 4월 16일 또는 그 이전 93%
4월 30일까지 출시되지 않음 3.2%
4월 17일 1.6%
4월 21일 <1%
신규
$119,093 거래량
신규
$119,093 거래량
2026.04.30
2026년 4월 16일 또는 그 이전
93%
4월 17일
2%
4월 18일
1%
4월 19일
1%
4월 20일
1%
4월 21일
1%
4월 22일
<1%
4월 23일
1%
4월 24일
<1%
4월 25일
<1%
4월 26일
<1%
4월 27일
<1%
4월 28일
1%
4월 29일
<1%
4월 30일
<1%
4월 30일까지 출시되지 않음
3%
2026년 4월 16일 또는 그 이전 93%
4월 30일까지 출시되지 않음 3.2%
4월 17일 1.6%
4월 21일 <1%
신규
$119,093 거래량
신규
$119,093 거래량
2026.04.30
2026년 4월 16일 또는 그 이전
$61,059 거래량
93%
4월 17일
$11,983 거래량
2%
4월 18일
$7,005 거래량
1%
4월 19일
$6,134 거래량
1%
4월 20일
$5,753 거래량
1%
4월 21일
$5,457 거래량
1%
4월 22일
$3,590 거래량
<1%
4월 23일
$3,451 거래량
1%
4월 24일
$3,628 거래량
<1%
4월 25일
$3,922 거래량
<1%
4월 26일
$3,850 거래량
<1%
4월 27일
$3,827 거래량
<1%
4월 28일
$3,263 거래량
1%
4월 29일
$3,066 거래량
<1%
4월 30일
$3,032 거래량
<1%
4월 30일까지 출시되지 않음
$8,085 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 82% implied probability for Anthropic releasing Claude 4.7 on or before April 16, driven by a April 14 report from The Information stating the large language model and a new AI design tool could launch "as soon as this week." This follows preparatory signals like the Claude Code desktop app redesign with side-by-side sessions and voice commands, plus Mythos preview deployment achieving 77.8% on SWE-Bench Pro—far surpassing Claude Opus 4.6's 53.4%. Code leaks earlier referenced Opus 4.7, aligning with Anthropic's pattern of tooling upgrades before model drops. While no official announcement has surfaced today, traders anticipate resolution imminent, with April 17 at 9.6% amid typical rapid iteration in AI model releases.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
거래량
$119,093종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 82% implied probability for Anthropic releasing Claude 4.7 on or before April 16, driven by a April 14 report from The Information stating the large language model and a new AI design tool could launch "as soon as this week." This follows preparatory signals like the Claude Code desktop app redesign with side-by-side sessions and voice commands, plus Mythos preview deployment achieving 77.8% on SWE-Bench Pro—far surpassing Claude Opus 4.6's 53.4%. Code leaks earlier referenced Opus 4.7, aligning with Anthropic's pattern of tooling upgrades before model drops. While no official announcement has surfaced today, traders anticipate resolution imminent, with April 17 at 9.6% amid typical rapid iteration in AI model releases.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$119,093종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 82% implied probability for Anthropic releasing Claude 4.7 on or before April 16, driven by a April 14 report from The Information stating the large language model and a new AI design tool could launch "as soon as this week." This follows preparatory signals like the Claude Code desktop app redesign with side-by-side sessions and voice commands, plus Mythos preview deployment achieving 77.8% on SWE-Bench Pro—far surpassing Claude Opus 4.6's 53.4%. Code leaks earlier referenced Opus 4.7, aligning with Anthropic's pattern of tooling upgrades before model drops. While no official announcement has surfaced today, traders anticipate resolution imminent, with April 17 at 9.6% amid typical rapid iteration in AI model releases.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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