Recent polls from Datafolha, Quaest, and others conducted in early April consistently show President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round voting intentions at 37-40%, with Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in second place at 30-37%, narrowing the gap amid right-wing consolidation following Ratinho Júnior's March withdrawal and endorsements from figures like Tarcísio de Freitas. This trader consensus reflects Flávio's momentum as the leading right-wing challenger, inheriting support from his father's base despite Jair Bolsonaro's ineligibility, while Lula holds an edge among incumbency voters. Upcoming candidate announcements and the April 4 electoral resignation deadline have solidified the top-two matchup, though undecided voters (14-20%) and low support for others like Ronaldo Caiado keep the race fluid ahead of the October 4 first round.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트플라비우 볼소나루 67%
루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바 15%
레난 산투스 6.8%
페르난두 아다지 6.2%
$3,041,346 거래량
$3,041,346 거래량
2026.10.04
플라비우 볼소나루
67%
루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바
15%
레난 산투스
7%
페르난두 아다지
6%
카밀루 산타나
2%
호날두 카이아두
2%
로메우 제마
2%
자이르 보우소나루
1%
헤랄두 알크민
1%
Aldo Rebelo
<1%
미셸 볼소나루
<1%
하치뉴 주니오르
<1%
타르시지우 지 프레이타스
<1%
에두아르두 볼소나루
<1%
에두아르두 레이치
<1%
플라비우 볼소나루 67%
루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바 15%
레난 산투스 6.8%
페르난두 아다지 6.2%
$3,041,346 거래량
$3,041,346 거래량
2026.10.04
플라비우 볼소나루
$30,007 거래량
67%
루이스 이나시우 룰라 다 시우바
$34,720 거래량
15%
레난 산투스
$970,266 거래량
7%
페르난두 아다지
$634,834 거래량
6%
카밀루 산타나
$41,578 거래량
2%
호날두 카이아두
$271,977 거래량
2%
로메우 제마
$154,547 거래량
2%
자이르 보우소나루
$57,361 거래량
1%
헤랄두 알크민
$77,837 거래량
1%
Aldo Rebelo
$13,840 거래량
<1%
미셸 볼소나루
$36,060 거래량
<1%
하치뉴 주니오르
$596,705 거래량
<1%
타르시지우 지 프레이타스
$84,471 거래량
<1%
에두아르두 볼소나루
$23,381 거래량
<1%
에두아르두 레이치
$13,761 거래량
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls from Datafolha, Quaest, and others conducted in early April consistently show President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round voting intentions at 37-40%, with Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in second place at 30-37%, narrowing the gap amid right-wing consolidation following Ratinho Júnior's March withdrawal and endorsements from figures like Tarcísio de Freitas. This trader consensus reflects Flávio's momentum as the leading right-wing challenger, inheriting support from his father's base despite Jair Bolsonaro's ineligibility, while Lula holds an edge among incumbency voters. Upcoming candidate announcements and the April 4 electoral resignation deadline have solidified the top-two matchup, though undecided voters (14-20%) and low support for others like Ronaldo Caiado keep the race fluid ahead of the October 4 first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
마켓 개설일: Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
거래량
$3,041,346종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls from Datafolha, Quaest, and others conducted in early April consistently show President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round voting intentions at 37-40%, with Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in second place at 30-37%, narrowing the gap amid right-wing consolidation following Ratinho Júnior's March withdrawal and endorsements from figures like Tarcísio de Freitas. This trader consensus reflects Flávio's momentum as the leading right-wing challenger, inheriting support from his father's base despite Jair Bolsonaro's ineligibility, while Lula holds an edge among incumbency voters. Upcoming candidate announcements and the April 4 electoral resignation deadline have solidified the top-two matchup, though undecided voters (14-20%) and low support for others like Ronaldo Caiado keep the race fluid ahead of the October 4 first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
거래량
$3,041,346종료일
2026.10.04마켓 개설일
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls from Datafolha, Quaest, and others conducted in early April consistently show President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leading first-round voting intentions at 37-40%, with Senator Flávio Bolsonaro in second place at 30-37%, narrowing the gap amid right-wing consolidation following Ratinho Júnior's March withdrawal and endorsements from figures like Tarcísio de Freitas. This trader consensus reflects Flávio's momentum as the leading right-wing challenger, inheriting support from his father's base despite Jair Bolsonaro's ineligibility, while Lula holds an edge among incumbency voters. Upcoming candidate announcements and the April 4 electoral resignation deadline have solidified the top-two matchup, though undecided voters (14-20%) and low support for others like Ronaldo Caiado keep the race fluid ahead of the October 4 first round.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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