Trader consensus slightly favors FC Bayern München at 45% implied probability for the UEFA Champions League quarter-final first leg at Santiago Bernabéu, driven by Real Madrid's mounting injury crisis including Thibaut Courtois sidelined with a thigh injury for both legs, Rodrygo out long-term after an early March ACL tear, and Éder Militão's ongoing tendon issue weakening the defense. Bayern faces its own setbacks with Jamal Musiala sidelined post-fibula fracture surgery, Alphonso Davies injured, and a goalkeeper shortage headlined by Manuel Neuer's calf problem, yet their Bundesliga-leading form and attacking depth under recent wins like over Atalanta position them ahead. Real Madrid's La Liga momentum (recent 3-2 derby win vs. Atlético) and home advantage keep it competitive at 32.5%, with draw pricing at 23% reflecting tight historical clashes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
マーケット開始日: Mar 25, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
マーケット開始日: Mar 25, 2026, 2:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.uefa.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus slightly favors FC Bayern München at 45% implied probability for the UEFA Champions League quarter-final first leg at Santiago Bernabéu, driven by Real Madrid's mounting injury crisis including Thibaut Courtois sidelined with a thigh injury for both legs, Rodrygo out long-term after an early March ACL tear, and Éder Militão's ongoing tendon issue weakening the defense. Bayern faces its own setbacks with Jamal Musiala sidelined post-fibula fracture surgery, Alphonso Davies injured, and a goalkeeper shortage headlined by Manuel Neuer's calf problem, yet their Bundesliga-leading form and attacking depth under recent wins like over Atalanta position them ahead. Real Madrid's La Liga momentum (recent 3-2 derby win vs. Atlético) and home advantage keep it competitive at 32.5%, with draw pricing at 23% reflecting tight historical clashes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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