Wales hold a trader consensus edge at 55.5% implied probability as slight home favorites against Northern Ireland in this international friendly at Cardiff's Principality Stadium, buoyed by an unbeaten head-to-head record over the last six meetings (three wins, three draws) and strong recent home form with five victories in seven competitive fixtures. Both nations arrive deflated from World Cup 2026 playoff semi-final exits—Wales' 1-1 penalty shootout loss to Bosnia and Northern Ireland's 0-2 defeat to Italy on March 26—prompting heavy rotations amid fatigue from extra time. Wales miss defenders Ben Davies, Chris Mepham, and Connor Roberts, plus Kieffer Moore and omitted captain Aaron Ramsey, while Jordan James and Rubin Colwill are injured; Northern Ireland are defense-light without Ali McCann, Daniel Ballard, Paddy McNair, and others, heightening the closely contested nature reflected in draw pricing at 25.5%.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

If Wales wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
マーケット開始日: Mar 30, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
結算ソース
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...

If Wales wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No".
This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
マーケット開始日: Mar 30, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
結算ソース
https://www.fifa.comResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wales hold a trader consensus edge at 55.5% implied probability as slight home favorites against Northern Ireland in this international friendly at Cardiff's Principality Stadium, buoyed by an unbeaten head-to-head record over the last six meetings (three wins, three draws) and strong recent home form with five victories in seven competitive fixtures. Both nations arrive deflated from World Cup 2026 playoff semi-final exits—Wales' 1-1 penalty shootout loss to Bosnia and Northern Ireland's 0-2 defeat to Italy on March 26—prompting heavy rotations amid fatigue from extra time. Wales miss defenders Ben Davies, Chris Mepham, and Connor Roberts, plus Kieffer Moore and omitted captain Aaron Ramsey, while Jordan James and Rubin Colwill are injured; Northern Ireland are defense-light without Ali McCann, Daniel Ballard, Paddy McNair, and others, heightening the closely contested nature reflected in draw pricing at 25.5%.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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