Trader consensus in the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 5 market heavily favors a draw at 61% implied probability, reflecting the solid defensive prep typical in classical chess encounters among top grandmasters, where outcomes often split evenly. R Praggnanandhaa's 27.5% win probability stems from his superior 2740+ rating edge over Andrey Esipenko's 2698, plus stronger tournament form at 2/4 points—including a sharp Round 1 win over Anish Giri—positioning him third in standings behind leader Javokhir Sindarov. Esipenko trails at 1/4 after a critical Round 4 blunder against Giri in a Najdorf Sicilian and an opening-round loss to Sindarov, underscoring his underdog status at 10% despite prior head-to-head competitiveness. With 10 rounds remaining, Pragg eyes a boost toward contention.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
12:454月 3
$242.68 Vol.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026
If Praggnanandhaa R wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026
If Andrey Esipenko wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Trader consensus in the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 5 market heavily favors a draw at 61% implied probability, reflecting the solid defensive prep typical in classical chess encounters among top grandmasters, where outcomes often split evenly. R Praggnanandhaa's 27.5% win probability stems from his superior 2740+ rating edge over Andrey Esipenko's 2698, plus stronger tournament form at 2/4 points—including a sharp Round 1 win over Anish Giri—positioning him third in standings behind leader Javokhir Sindarov. Esipenko trails at 1/4 after a critical Round 4 blunder against Giri in a Najdorf Sicilian and an opening-round loss to Sindarov, underscoring his underdog status at 10% despite prior head-to-head competitiveness. With 10 rounds remaining, Pragg eyes a boost toward contention.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026
If Praggnanandhaa R wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Praggnanandhaa R wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
音量
$243終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 2:43 PM ET結算ソース
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...12:454月 3
$242.68 Vol.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026
If Praggnanandhaa R wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026
If the match ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026
If Andrey Esipenko wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Trader consensus in the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 5 market heavily favors a draw at 61% implied probability, reflecting the solid defensive prep typical in classical chess encounters among top grandmasters, where outcomes often split evenly. R Praggnanandhaa's 27.5% win probability stems from his superior 2740+ rating edge over Andrey Esipenko's 2698, plus stronger tournament form at 2/4 points—including a sharp Round 1 win over Anish Giri—positioning him third in standings behind leader Javokhir Sindarov. Esipenko trails at 1/4 after a critical Round 4 blunder against Giri in a Najdorf Sicilian and an opening-round loss to Sindarov, underscoring his underdog status at 10% despite prior head-to-head competitiveness. With 10 rounds remaining, Pragg eyes a boost toward contention.
In the upcoming match, scheduled for April 3, 2026
If Praggnanandhaa R wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
If Praggnanandhaa R wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed.
If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
音量
$243終了日
2026/04/10マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 2:43 PM ET結算ソース
https://lichess.org/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the FIDE Candidates 2026 Open Round 5 market heavily favors a draw at 61% implied probability, reflecting the solid defensive prep typical in classical chess encounters among top grandmasters, where outcomes often split evenly. R Praggnanandhaa's 27.5% win probability stems from his superior 2740+ rating edge over Andrey Esipenko's 2698, plus stronger tournament form at 2/4 points—including a sharp Round 1 win over Anish Giri—positioning him third in standings behind leader Javokhir Sindarov. Esipenko trails at 1/4 after a critical Round 4 blunder against Giri in a Najdorf Sicilian and an opening-round loss to Sindarov, underscoring his underdog status at 10% despite prior head-to-head competitiveness. With 10 rounds remaining, Pragg eyes a boost toward contention.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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