気候と科学 予測とオッズ
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Frequently Asked Questions
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Polymarket currently hosts 43 active markets for 気候と科学 that lets you track or trade on predictions like "2月28日までに米国ではしかの症例がありますか？". Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $14.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.
Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like "Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?". You buy shares in "yes" or "no" outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that's a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like "2026年の米国のはしか症例は？," you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.
As of today, the most active market is "2026年の米国のはしか症例は？," where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to ↑500. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.
It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 気候と科学 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.