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Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24?

Market icon

Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24?

Jobless claims are a statistic reported weekly by the U.S. Department of Labor that counts people filing to receive unemployment insurance benefits. There are two categories of jobless claims—initial, which comprises filings for the first time by unemployed individuals after their separation from an employer, and continuing, which consists of unemployed people who have already been receiving unemployment benefits. The claim requests a determination of basic eligibility for the Unemployment Insurance program. This is a market on the (seasonally adjusted) number of Americans that filed initial jobless claims for the week ending Saturday, September 24, 2022. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Department of Labor reports that there were more than 215,000 seasonally adjusted initial claims for unemployment insurance for the week ending on September 24, 2022. Otherwise, if the number is equal to or lower than 215,000 this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the United States Department of Labor’s Weekly Unemployment Insurance Claims report for the week ending on Saturday, September 24, 2022, expected to be released on Thursday, September 29, 2022, 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. The up-to-date release of Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report can be found at https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf If the relevant data is not available by October 6, 2022, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

Jobless claims are a statistic reported weekly by the U.S. Department of Labor that counts people filing to receive unemployment insurance benefits. There are two categories of jobless claims—initial, which comprises filings for the first time by unemployed individuals after their separation from an employer, and continuing, which consists of unemployed people who have already been receiving unemployment benefits. The claim requests a determination of basic eligibility for the Unemployment Insurance program. This is a market on the (seasonally adjusted) number of Americans that filed initial jobless claims for the week ending Saturday, September 24, 2022. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Department of Labor reports that there were more than 215,000 seasonally adjusted initial claims for unemployment insurance for the week ending on September 24, 2022. Otherwise, if the number is equal to or lower than 215,000 this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the United States Department of Labor’s Weekly Unemployment Insurance Claims report for the week ending on Saturday, September 24, 2022, expected to be released on Thursday, September 29, 2022, 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. The up-to-date release of Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report can be found at https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf If the relevant data is not available by October 6, 2022, 12:00 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

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よくある質問

「Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して0%です。例えば、「はい」が0¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を0%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Sep 22, 2022開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して0%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を0%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

「Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 215k for the week ending September 24?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。