Trader sentiment on USD/KRW reaching key thresholds in 2026 reflects persistent monetary policy divergence, with the Bank of Korea holding its base rate at 2.5% amid heavy intervention—$22.5 billion spent defending the won in Q4 2025—while the Fed's path of potential cuts weighs on the dollar. The pair surged to a 17-year high near 1,536 on March 31 before easing to around 1,509, driven by retail portfolio outflows and safe-haven dollar demand. Forecasts diverge, with some analysts eyeing 1,520+ by year-end versus stabilization near 1,450 on expected Fed easing. Key catalysts include BoK's April 9 rate decision, FOMC April 28-29, and upcoming Korean CPI data, alongside US nonfarm payrolls influencing rate differentials and carry trade dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$96,899 Vol.
↑2000
7%
↑1800
11%
↑1700
19%
↑1650
21%
↑1600
22%
↑1550
54%
↓1400
55%
↓1350
17%
↓1300
39%
↓1200
32%
↓1100
27%
↓1000
22%
$96,899 Vol.
↑2000
7%
↑1800
11%
↑1700
19%
↑1650
21%
↑1600
22%
↑1550
54%
↓1400
55%
↓1350
17%
↓1300
39%
↓1200
32%
↓1100
27%
↓1000
22%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/KRW hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/KRW Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-krw-chart).
マーケット開始日: Feb 6, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/KRW hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/KRW Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-krw-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on USD/KRW reaching key thresholds in 2026 reflects persistent monetary policy divergence, with the Bank of Korea holding its base rate at 2.5% amid heavy intervention—$22.5 billion spent defending the won in Q4 2025—while the Fed's path of potential cuts weighs on the dollar. The pair surged to a 17-year high near 1,536 on March 31 before easing to around 1,509, driven by retail portfolio outflows and safe-haven dollar demand. Forecasts diverge, with some analysts eyeing 1,520+ by year-end versus stabilization near 1,450 on expected Fed easing. Key catalysts include BoK's April 9 rate decision, FOMC April 28-29, and upcoming Korean CPI data, alongside US nonfarm payrolls influencing rate differentials and carry trade dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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