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Will Trump say a slur during the debate?

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Will Trump say a slur during the debate?

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$164,627 Vol.

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$164,627 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump uses a slur targeting race, ethnicity, religion, gender, sexuality, or disabilities at least once during the first presidential debate between himself and Kamala Harris during the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" Trump must clearly be using the term in reference to the derogatory meaning of a word in question (e.g. If Trump says "I ate too many crackers" this would not qualify). If no debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump takes place before election day, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump uses a slur targeting race, ethnicity, religion, gender, sexuality, or disabilities at least once during the first presidential debate between himself and Kamala Harris during the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" Trump must clearly be using the term in reference to the derogatory meaning of a word in question (e.g. If Trump says "I ate too many crackers" this would not qualify).

If no debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump takes place before election day, this market will resolve to "50-50".

The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

音量
$164,627
終了日
2024/09/10
マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2024, 10:59 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump uses a slur targeting race, ethnicity, religion, gender, sexuality, or disabilities at least once during the first presidential debate between himself and Kamala Harris during the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" Trump must clearly be using the term in reference to the derogatory meaning of a word in question (e.g. If Trump says "I ate too many crackers" this would not qualify). If no debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump takes place before election day, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立て

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump uses a slur targeting race, ethnicity, religion, gender, sexuality, or disabilities at least once during the first presidential debate between himself and Kamala Harris during the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" Trump must clearly be using the term in reference to the derogatory meaning of a word in question (e.g. If Trump says "I ate too many crackers" this would not qualify). If no debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump takes place before election day, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump uses a slur targeting race, ethnicity, religion, gender, sexuality, or disabilities at least once during the first presidential debate between himself and Kamala Harris during the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" Trump must clearly be using the term in reference to the derogatory meaning of a word in question (e.g. If Trump says "I ate too many crackers" this would not qualify).

If no debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump takes place before election day, this market will resolve to "50-50".

The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

音量
$164,627
終了日
2024/09/10
マーケット開始日
Sep 9, 2024, 10:59 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump uses a slur targeting race, ethnicity, religion, gender, sexuality, or disabilities at least once during the first presidential debate between himself and Kamala Harris during the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" Trump must clearly be using the term in reference to the derogatory meaning of a word in question (e.g. If Trump says "I ate too many crackers" this would not qualify). If no debate between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump takes place before election day, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source is live video of the debate. In case of ambiguity, an official transcript and/or a consensus of credible reporting may also be considered.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立て

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

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よくある質問

「Will Trump say a slur during the debate?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して0%です。例えば、「はい」が0¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を0%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Will Trump say a slur during the debate?」は$164.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Sep 9, 2024のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Will Trump say a slur during the debate?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Will Trump say a slur during the debate?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して0%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を0%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

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