Rising component costs from the ongoing RAM and chip shortages have driven Valve to delay the Steam Machine's 2026 launch and revisit pricing, fueling trader consensus at 72.5% implied probability for a $700+ release price. January leaks from Czech retailer Smarty.cz listed the 512GB model at $950 and 2TB at $1,070, eclipsing earlier $500–$600 estimates and aligning with premium hardware specs rivaling PS5 Pro. Valve's February announcement confirmed supply chain impacts without price specifics, while March updates reaffirmed a 2026 window amid persistent uncertainty. Key catalysts ahead include preorder openings and official MSRP reveal, which could shift odds if base pricing undercuts leaks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$145,044 Vol.
$145,044 Vol.
2025/12/31
はい
$145,044 Vol.
$145,044 Vol.
2025/12/31
Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify.
If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rising component costs from the ongoing RAM and chip shortages have driven Valve to delay the Steam Machine's 2026 launch and revisit pricing, fueling trader consensus at 72.5% implied probability for a $700+ release price. January leaks from Czech retailer Smarty.cz listed the 512GB model at $950 and 2TB at $1,070, eclipsing earlier $500–$600 estimates and aligning with premium hardware specs rivaling PS5 Pro. Valve's February announcement confirmed supply chain impacts without price specifics, while March updates reaffirmed a 2026 window amid persistent uncertainty. Key catalysts ahead include preorder openings and official MSRP reveal, which could shift odds if base pricing undercuts leaks.
Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify.
If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify.
If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Nov 14, 2025, 7:16 PM ET
音量
$145,044終了日
2025/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 14, 2025, 7:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify.
If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rising component costs from the ongoing RAM and chip shortages have driven Valve to delay the Steam Machine's 2026 launch and revisit pricing, fueling trader consensus at 72.5% implied probability for a $700+ release price. January leaks from Czech retailer Smarty.cz listed the 512GB model at $950 and 2TB at $1,070, eclipsing earlier $500–$600 estimates and aligning with premium hardware specs rivaling PS5 Pro. Valve's February announcement confirmed supply chain impacts without price specifics, while March updates reaffirmed a 2026 window amid persistent uncertainty. Key catalysts ahead include preorder openings and official MSRP reveal, which could shift odds if base pricing undercuts leaks.
Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify.
If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify.
If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$145,044終了日
2025/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 14, 2025, 7:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Rising component costs from the ongoing RAM and chip shortages have driven Valve to delay the Steam Machine's 2026 launch and revisit pricing, fueling trader consensus at 72.5% implied probability for a $700+ release price. January leaks from Czech retailer Smarty.cz listed the 512GB model at $950 and 2TB at $1,070, eclipsing earlier $500–$600 estimates and aligning with premium hardware specs rivaling PS5 Pro. Valve's February announcement confirmed supply chain impacts without price specifics, while March updates reaffirmed a 2026 window amid persistent uncertainty. Key catalysts ahead include preorder openings and official MSRP reveal, which could shift odds if base pricing undercuts leaks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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