Trader consensus leans heavily toward "No" at 67.5% implied probability, driven by the Powerball jackpot's recent reset to $20 million following a March winner, leaving insufficient rollovers to reach $1 billion by May 31 amid roughly 10 draws remaining. Jackpots typically grow $10-20 million per draw without a winner, but historical patterns show frequent hits before billion-dollar thresholds—only five such jackpots since 2016. No major rule changes or ticket sales surges alter this math, and public buzz on social media remains muted without a prolonged streak, reinforcing skepticism that the prize climbs that high in time. Key watch: Next drawings on April 24 and 27 could spark early momentum or dash hopes.