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OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?

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OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$176,020 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$176,020 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI shifts from its current capped-profit corporation structure to a for-profit model by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any form of fully for-profit organization—including a Benefit Corporation (B-Corp), Public Benefit Corporation (PBC), or a modification to its existing structure to remove profit caps—will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.

If the OpenAI non-profit relinquishes control over the for-profit business, this will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

An announcement indicating that OpenAI is merely considering the shift will not suffice; the change must officially occur.

The primary resolution source will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$176,020
終了日
Mar 31, 2025
マーケット開始日
Sep 26, 2024, 2:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI shifts from its current capped-profit corporation structure to a for-profit model by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any form of fully for-profit organization—including a Benefit Corporation (B-Corp), Public Benefit Corporation (PBC), or a modification to its existing structure to remove profit caps—will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. If the OpenAI non-profit relinquishes control over the for-profit business, this will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. An announcement indicating that OpenAI is merely considering the shift will not suffice; the change must officially occur. The primary resolution source will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI shifts from its current capped-profit corporation structure to a for-profit model by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any form of fully for-profit organization—including a Benefit Corporation (B-Corp), Public Benefit Corporation (PBC), or a modification to its existing structure to remove profit caps—will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.

If the OpenAI non-profit relinquishes control over the for-profit business, this will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

An announcement indicating that OpenAI is merely considering the shift will not suffice; the change must officially occur.

The primary resolution source will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$176,020
終了日
Mar 31, 2025
マーケット開始日
Sep 26, 2024, 2:04 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI shifts from its current capped-profit corporation structure to a for-profit model by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any form of fully for-profit organization—including a Benefit Corporation (B-Corp), Public Benefit Corporation (PBC), or a modification to its existing structure to remove profit caps—will suffice for a "Yes" resolution. If the OpenAI non-profit relinquishes control over the for-profit business, this will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. An announcement indicating that OpenAI is merely considering the shift will not suffice; the change must officially occur. The primary resolution source will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?" has generated $176K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 26, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.