Market icon

Will more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year?

Market icon

Will more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$176,304 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$176,304 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the TSA reports a daily checkpoint throughput of more than 1,551,896 on November 27, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the date of November 27, 2025. Any subsequent revisions published to data for this date will not be considered.

If no data for November 27 is published by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughput as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
音量
$176,304
終了日
Nov 27, 2025
マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the TSA reports a daily checkpoint throughput of more than 1,551,896 on November 27, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the date of November 27, 2025. Any subsequent revisions published to data for this date will not be considered. If no data for November 27 is published by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughput as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the TSA reports a daily checkpoint throughput of more than 1,551,896 on November 27, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the date of November 27, 2025. Any subsequent revisions published to data for this date will not be considered.

If no data for November 27 is published by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughput as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
音量
$176,304
終了日
Nov 27, 2025
マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the TSA reports a daily checkpoint throughput of more than 1,551,896 on November 27, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the date of November 27, 2025. Any subsequent revisions published to data for this date will not be considered. If no data for November 27 is published by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughput as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year?" has generated $176.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will more people travel on Thanksgiving than last year?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.