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icon for リトル・ジョーはまた逃げるのか?

リトル・ジョーはまた逃げるのか?

icon for リトル・ジョーはまた逃げるのか?

リトル・ジョーはまた逃げるのか?

はい

5% 確率
Polymarket
新規

はい

5% 確率
Polymarket
新規
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify. This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting. Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.Traders assign just a 5.4% implied probability that Little Joe the western lowland gorilla will escape again before July 31, 2026, reflecting confidence in modern zoo containment standards after his well-documented 2003 breakout from Boston’s Franklin Park Zoo. The recent announcement of his carefully supervised transfer to Pittsburgh Zoo & Aquarium for a breeding recommendation has reinforced this view, as facilities now employ multilayered barriers, 24-hour monitoring, and specialized primate protocols that minimize risk. While any maintenance lapse or unforeseen behavioral trigger could theoretically create an opening, industry practices and the animal’s long-term record under professional care keep the odds of an unscheduled escape extremely low through the resolution date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.

This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
音量
$1,287
終了日
2026/07/31
マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify. This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting. Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify. This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting. Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.Traders assign just a 5.4% implied probability that Little Joe the western lowland gorilla will escape again before July 31, 2026, reflecting confidence in modern zoo containment standards after his well-documented 2003 breakout from Boston’s Franklin Park Zoo. The recent announcement of his carefully supervised transfer to Pittsburgh Zoo & Aquarium for a breeding recommendation has reinforced this view, as facilities now employ multilayered barriers, 24-hour monitoring, and specialized primate protocols that minimize risk. While any maintenance lapse or unforeseen behavioral trigger could theoretically create an opening, industry practices and the animal’s long-term record under professional care keep the odds of an unscheduled escape extremely low through the resolution date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.

This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
音量
$1,287
終了日
2026/07/31
マーケット開始日
May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify. This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting. Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「リトル・ジョーはまた逃げるのか?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「リトル・ジョーはまた逃げ出すでしょうか?」で5%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、5¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に5%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「リトル・ジョーはまた逃げるのか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(May 14, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「リトル・ジョーはまた逃げるのか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「リトル・ジョーはまた逃げるのか?」の現在のリーダーは「リトル・ジョーはまた逃げ出すでしょうか?」でわずか5%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「リトル・ジョーはまた逃げるのか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。