Traders assign just a 5.4% implied probability that Little Joe the western lowland gorilla will escape again before July 31, 2026, reflecting confidence in modern zoo containment standards after his well-documented 2003 breakout from Boston’s Franklin Park Zoo. The recent announcement of his carefully supervised transfer to Pittsburgh Zoo & Aquarium for a breeding recommendation has reinforced this view, as facilities now employ multilayered barriers, 24-hour monitoring, and specialized primate protocols that minimize risk. While any maintenance lapse or unforeseen behavioral trigger could theoretically create an opening, industry practices and the animal’s long-term record under professional care keep the odds of an unscheduled escape extremely low through the resolution date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日リトル・ジョーはまた逃げるのか?
はい
はい
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
マーケット開始日: May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign just a 5.4% implied probability that Little Joe the western lowland gorilla will escape again before July 31, 2026, reflecting confidence in modern zoo containment standards after his well-documented 2003 breakout from Boston’s Franklin Park Zoo. The recent announcement of his carefully supervised transfer to Pittsburgh Zoo & Aquarium for a breeding recommendation has reinforced this view, as facilities now employ multilayered barriers, 24-hour monitoring, and specialized primate protocols that minimize risk. While any maintenance lapse or unforeseen behavioral trigger could theoretically create an opening, industry practices and the animal’s long-term record under professional care keep the odds of an unscheduled escape extremely low through the resolution date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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