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Will Fed end QT before May?

Market icon

Will Fed end QT before May?

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$6,253,068 Vol.

>99% 確率
Polymarket

$6,253,068 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Federal Reserve increases the amount of securities it holds outright week over week by April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Relevant information is typically released every Thursday for the Wednesday preceding it. This market will resolve according to information as it stands on the chart at any point, regardless of whether a datapoint is later revised down, unless a point that shows up is an obvious error. This market's primary resolution source will be information from the St. Louis Fed's "Assets: Securities Held Outright: U.S. Treasury Securities: Wednesday Level (WSHOTSL)" chart, found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WSHOTSL

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Federal Reserve increases the amount of securities it holds outright week over week by April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Relevant information is typically released every Thursday for the Wednesday preceding it.

This market will resolve according to information as it stands on the chart at any point, regardless of whether a datapoint is later revised down, unless a point that shows up is an obvious error.

This market's primary resolution source will be information from the St. Louis Fed's "Assets: Securities Held Outright: U.S. Treasury Securities: Wednesday Level (WSHOTSL)" chart, found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WSHOTSL
音量
$6,253,068
終了日
2025/04/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 4, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Federal Reserve increases the amount of securities it holds outright week over week by April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Relevant information is typically released every Thursday for the Wednesday preceding it. This market will resolve according to information as it stands on the chart at any point, regardless of whether a datapoint is later revised down, unless a point that shows up is an obvious error. This market's primary resolution source will be information from the St. Louis Fed's "Assets: Securities Held Outright: U.S. Treasury Securities: Wednesday Level (WSHOTSL)" chart, found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WSHOTSL

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立て

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立て

最終結果: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Federal Reserve increases the amount of securities it holds outright week over week by April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Relevant information is typically released every Thursday for the Wednesday preceding it. This market will resolve according to information as it stands on the chart at any point, regardless of whether a datapoint is later revised down, unless a point that shows up is an obvious error. This market's primary resolution source will be information from the St. Louis Fed's "Assets: Securities Held Outright: U.S. Treasury Securities: Wednesday Level (WSHOTSL)" chart, found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WSHOTSL

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Federal Reserve increases the amount of securities it holds outright week over week by April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Relevant information is typically released every Thursday for the Wednesday preceding it.

This market will resolve according to information as it stands on the chart at any point, regardless of whether a datapoint is later revised down, unless a point that shows up is an obvious error.

This market's primary resolution source will be information from the St. Louis Fed's "Assets: Securities Held Outright: U.S. Treasury Securities: Wednesday Level (WSHOTSL)" chart, found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WSHOTSL
音量
$6,253,068
終了日
2025/04/30
マーケット開始日
Mar 4, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Federal Reserve increases the amount of securities it holds outright week over week by April 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Relevant information is typically released every Thursday for the Wednesday preceding it. This market will resolve according to information as it stands on the chart at any point, regardless of whether a datapoint is later revised down, unless a point that shows up is an obvious error. This market's primary resolution source will be information from the St. Louis Fed's "Assets: Securities Held Outright: U.S. Treasury Securities: Wednesday Level (WSHOTSL)" chart, found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WSHOTSL

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立て

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立て

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Will Fed end QT before May?」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して100%です。例えば、「はい」が100¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を100%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Will Fed end QT before May?」は$6.3 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 4, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Will Fed end QT before May?」で取引するには、答えが「はい」か「いいえ」かを選ぶだけです。各側には市場の暗示確率を反映する現在の価格があります。金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。「はい」のシェアを購入し、結果が「はい」と決まった場合、各シェアは$1を支払います。「いいえ」と決まった場合、「はい」のシェアは$0を支払います。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却して利益を確定したり、損失を抑えたりすることもできます。

「Will Fed end QT before May?」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して100%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を100%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

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