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Will Biden or DeSantis file to run for president first?

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Will Biden or DeSantis file to run for president first?

Biden

0% chance
Polymarket

$2,914 Vol.

Biden

0% chance
Polymarket

$2,914 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Biden" if Joseph Biden files to run for President of the United States in the 2024 election before Ronald DeSantis. This market will resolve to "DeSantis" if Ronald DeSantis files to run for President of the United States in the 2024 election before Joseph Biden. For the purposes of resolving this market "files to run for President of the United States in the 2024 election" will be satisfied by at least one of the following criteria becoming true for a candidate through either individual action or action through authorized representatives: -Files a Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) -Amends an existing Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the FEC -Designates a principal campaign committee for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election -Otherwise files or communicates with the FEC with the same effect as the filing of a Form 2 Statement of Candidacy for the 2024 election. If neither named individual files to run for President of the United States in the 2024 election by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. Please note that any informal declarations by Joseph Biden/Ronald DeSantis and/or their representatives regarding their intentions to run will have no bearing on this market; only the above criteria will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve based on the FEC (e.g https://www.fec.gov/), however a consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

This market will resolve to "Biden" if Joseph Biden files to run for President of the United States in the 2024 election before Ronald DeSantis. This market will resolve to "DeSantis" if Ronald DeSantis files to run for President of the United States in the 2024 election before Joseph Biden. For the purposes of resolving this market "files to run for President of the United States in the 2024 election" will be satisfied by at least one of the following criteria becoming true for a candidate through either individual action or action through authorized representatives: -Files a Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) -Amends an existing Statement of Candidacy for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election with the FEC -Designates a principal campaign committee for the office of President of the United States in the 2024 election -Otherwise files or communicates with the FEC with the same effect as the filing of a Form 2 Statement of Candidacy for the 2024 election. If neither named individual files to run for President of the United States in the 2024 election by December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. Please note that any informal declarations by Joseph Biden/Ronald DeSantis and/or their representatives regarding their intentions to run will have no bearing on this market; only the above criteria will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve based on the FEC (e.g https://www.fec.gov/), however a consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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よくある質問

「Will Biden or DeSantis file to run for president first?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Will Biden or DeSantis file to run for president first?」で100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Will Biden or DeSantis file to run for president first?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 11, 2023開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Will Biden or DeSantis file to run for president first?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Will Biden or DeSantis file to run for president first?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Will Biden or DeSantis file to run for president first?」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Will Biden or DeSantis file to run for president first?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。