Current National Hurricane Center outlooks confirm no tropical cyclones or organized disturbances exist in the Atlantic or eastern Pacific basins as of May 24, 2026, with routine issuance of outlooks only resuming June 1 in some regions. This aligns with climatological norms, as the first Atlantic hurricane typically develops near mid-August and named storms around June 20. The remaining seven-day window offers insufficient time for tropical cyclogenesis to reach sustained winds of 74 mph or higher under prevailing atmospheric conditions. While model runs can occasionally identify late-May development windows in other years, the lack of seed disturbances, wind shear patterns, and sea surface temperatures this season reinforce trader consensus on the near-certain “No” outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$51,669 Vol.
$51,669 Vol.
2026/05/31
はい
$51,669 Vol.
$51,669 Vol.
2026/05/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.Current National Hurricane Center outlooks confirm no tropical cyclones or organized disturbances exist in the Atlantic or eastern Pacific basins as of May 24, 2026, with routine issuance of outlooks only resuming June 1 in some regions. This aligns with climatological norms, as the first Atlantic hurricane typically develops near mid-August and named storms around June 20. The remaining seven-day window offers insufficient time for tropical cyclogenesis to reach sustained winds of 74 mph or higher under prevailing atmospheric conditions. While model runs can occasionally identify late-May development windows in other years, the lack of seed disturbances, wind shear patterns, and sea surface temperatures this season reinforce trader consensus on the near-certain “No” outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
マーケット開始日： Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ET
音量
$51,669終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.Current National Hurricane Center outlooks confirm no tropical cyclones or organized disturbances exist in the Atlantic or eastern Pacific basins as of May 24, 2026, with routine issuance of outlooks only resuming June 1 in some regions. This aligns with climatological norms, as the first Atlantic hurricane typically develops near mid-August and named storms around June 20. The remaining seven-day window offers insufficient time for tropical cyclogenesis to reach sustained winds of 74 mph or higher under prevailing atmospheric conditions. While model runs can occasionally identify late-May development windows in other years, the lack of seed disturbances, wind shear patterns, and sea surface temperatures this season reinforce trader consensus on the near-certain “No” outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA designates any storm in the Atlantic a hurricane between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
音量
$51,669終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Dec 4, 2025, 3:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Current National Hurricane Center outlooks confirm no tropical cyclones or organized disturbances exist in the Atlantic or eastern Pacific basins as of May 24, 2026, with routine issuance of outlooks only resuming June 1 in some regions. This aligns with climatological norms, as the first Atlantic hurricane typically develops near mid-August and named storms around June 20. The remaining seven-day window offers insufficient time for tropical cyclogenesis to reach sustained winds of 74 mph or higher under prevailing atmospheric conditions. While model runs can occasionally identify late-May development windows in other years, the lack of seed disturbances, wind shear patterns, and sea surface temperatures this season reinforce trader consensus on the near-certain “No” outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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