Republican Glenn Grothman holds a strong position in Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district, which carries an R+8 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the incumbent’s established fundraising edge and the district’s voting patterns. Multiple Democratic candidates have filed for the August primary, though several have withdrawn and the field remains fragmented. An independent challenger has also entered, yet no developments have altered the underlying structural advantages for the Republican nominee. Traders price the Republican Party outcome at 84 percent, consistent with historical base rates for comparable seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,942 Vol.
$17,942 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
84%
民主党
16%
$17,942 Vol.
$17,942 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$10,305 Vol.
84%
民主党
$7,637 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Glenn Grothman holds a strong position in Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district, which carries an R+8 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the incumbent’s established fundraising edge and the district’s voting patterns. Multiple Democratic candidates have filed for the August primary, though several have withdrawn and the field remains fragmented. An independent challenger has also entered, yet no developments have altered the underlying structural advantages for the Republican nominee. Traders price the Republican Party outcome at 84 percent, consistent with historical base rates for comparable seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$17,942終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Glenn Grothman holds a strong position in Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district, which carries an R+8 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the incumbent’s established fundraising edge and the district’s voting patterns. Multiple Democratic candidates have filed for the August primary, though several have withdrawn and the field remains fragmented. An independent challenger has also entered, yet no developments have altered the underlying structural advantages for the Republican nominee. Traders price the Republican Party outcome at 84 percent, consistent with historical base rates for comparable seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,942終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Glenn Grothman holds a strong position in Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district, which carries an R+8 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the incumbent’s established fundraising edge and the district’s voting patterns. Multiple Democratic candidates have filed for the August primary, though several have withdrawn and the field remains fragmented. An independent challenger has also entered, yet no developments have altered the underlying structural advantages for the Republican nominee. Traders price the Republican Party outcome at 84 percent, consistent with historical base rates for comparable seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問