Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman seeks a seventh term in Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato’s Crystal Ball with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8. The district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent presidential cycles underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 83%. Grothman faces a primary challenge from Jonathan Peetz on August 11, while independent Mike Thurow, a union fire captain, has entered the November 3 general election contest. Limited Democratic recruitment and the absence of major recent shifts in local polling or endorsements sustain the current probability distribution ahead of the August primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,942 Vol.
$17,942 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
84%
民主党
15%
$17,942 Vol.
$17,942 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$10,305 Vol.
84%
民主党
$7,637 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman seeks a seventh term in Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato’s Crystal Ball with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8. The district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent presidential cycles underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 83%. Grothman faces a primary challenge from Jonathan Peetz on August 11, while independent Mike Thurow, a union fire captain, has entered the November 3 general election contest. Limited Democratic recruitment and the absence of major recent shifts in local polling or endorsements sustain the current probability distribution ahead of the August primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$17,942終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman seeks a seventh term in Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato’s Crystal Ball with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8. The district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent presidential cycles underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 83%. Grothman faces a primary challenge from Jonathan Peetz on August 11, while independent Mike Thurow, a union fire captain, has entered the November 3 general election contest. Limited Democratic recruitment and the absence of major recent shifts in local polling or endorsements sustain the current probability distribution ahead of the August primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,942終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman seeks a seventh term in Wisconsin’s 6th congressional district, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato’s Crystal Ball with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8. The district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent presidential cycles underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee at 83%. Grothman faces a primary challenge from Jonathan Peetz on August 11, while independent Mike Thurow, a union fire captain, has entered the November 3 general election contest. Limited Democratic recruitment and the absence of major recent shifts in local polling or endorsements sustain the current probability distribution ahead of the August primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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