The Republican incumbent Bryan Steil holds a modest edge in Wisconsin’s First Congressional District race for the 2026 midterm, consistent with the seat’s partisan voting index and his prior victories that outpaced the district’s underlying lean. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican, citing Steil’s established fundraising base and record of running ahead of top-of-ticket results. On the Democratic side, a crowded primary field scheduled for August 11 includes recent entrant Milwaukee Alderman Peter Burgelis alongside other challengers, yet none have consolidated significant resources or broad name recognition. Recent polling shows Steil ahead in head-to-head matchups, though the outcome remains sensitive to primary results, general-election turnout in key counties, and any national midterm dynamics that could narrow or widen the current implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
63%
民主党
37%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
$558 Vol.
63%
民主党
$402 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican incumbent Bryan Steil holds a modest edge in Wisconsin’s First Congressional District race for the 2026 midterm, consistent with the seat’s partisan voting index and his prior victories that outpaced the district’s underlying lean. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican, citing Steil’s established fundraising base and record of running ahead of top-of-ticket results. On the Democratic side, a crowded primary field scheduled for August 11 includes recent entrant Milwaukee Alderman Peter Burgelis alongside other challengers, yet none have consolidated significant resources or broad name recognition. Recent polling shows Steil ahead in head-to-head matchups, though the outcome remains sensitive to primary results, general-election turnout in key counties, and any national midterm dynamics that could narrow or widen the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
音量
$960終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican incumbent Bryan Steil holds a modest edge in Wisconsin’s First Congressional District race for the 2026 midterm, consistent with the seat’s partisan voting index and his prior victories that outpaced the district’s underlying lean. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican, citing Steil’s established fundraising base and record of running ahead of top-of-ticket results. On the Democratic side, a crowded primary field scheduled for August 11 includes recent entrant Milwaukee Alderman Peter Burgelis alongside other challengers, yet none have consolidated significant resources or broad name recognition. Recent polling shows Steil ahead in head-to-head matchups, though the outcome remains sensitive to primary results, general-election turnout in key counties, and any national midterm dynamics that could narrow or widen the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$960終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican incumbent Bryan Steil holds a modest edge in Wisconsin’s First Congressional District race for the 2026 midterm, consistent with the seat’s partisan voting index and his prior victories that outpaced the district’s underlying lean. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican, citing Steil’s established fundraising base and record of running ahead of top-of-ticket results. On the Democratic side, a crowded primary field scheduled for August 11 includes recent entrant Milwaukee Alderman Peter Burgelis alongside other challengers, yet none have consolidated significant resources or broad name recognition. Recent polling shows Steil ahead in head-to-head matchups, though the outcome remains sensitive to primary results, general-election turnout in key counties, and any national midterm dynamics that could narrow or widen the current implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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