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Who will win late deciders?

icon for Who will win late deciders?

Who will win late deciders?

Harris

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$40,322 Vol.

Harris

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$40,322 Vol.

This market refers to the CNN release of the National Election Pool exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election conducted by Edison research. This market will resolve to “Harris” if Kamala Harris wins a greater share of voters who decided in the last month than Donald Trump in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to “Trump” if Donald Trump wins a greater share of voters who decided in the last month than Kamala Harris in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to 50-50 if neither Donald Trump nor Kamala Harris win the plurality of voters who decided in the last month in the 2024 US presidential election. The resolution source for this market will be the CNN release of the Edison research exit poll. If CNN does not release the National Election Pool/Edison research exit poll by November 10, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, the polling numbers from the CBS release of the National Election Pool will be used. If CBS also has not released the poll, alternate releases of the of the National Election Pool will be used. If the National Election Pool/Edison research exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election is not conducted/released by November 20, 2024, 12:00 PM, or if the poll does not provide data on voters who decided in the last month this market will resolve to 50-50. Note: Slight changes in terminology used by the poll will not affect resolution.

This market refers to the CNN release of the National Election Pool exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election conducted by Edison research.

This market will resolve to “Harris” if Kamala Harris wins a greater share of voters who decided in the last month than Donald Trump in the 2024 US presidential election.

This market will resolve to “Trump” if Donald Trump wins a greater share of voters who decided in the last month than Kamala Harris in the 2024 US presidential election.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if neither Donald Trump nor Kamala Harris win the plurality of voters who decided in the last month in the 2024 US presidential election.

The resolution source for this market will be the CNN release of the Edison research exit poll. If CNN does not release the National Election Pool/Edison research exit poll by November 10, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, the polling numbers from the CBS release of the National Election Pool will be used. If CBS also has not released the poll, alternate releases of the of the National Election Pool will be used. If the National Election Pool/Edison research exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election is not conducted/released by November 20, 2024, 12:00 PM, or if the poll does not provide data on voters who decided in the last month this market will resolve to 50-50.

Note: Slight changes in terminology used by the poll will not affect resolution.
音量
$40,322
終了日
2024/11/05
マーケット開始日
Oct 28, 2024, 12:14 PM ET
This market refers to the CNN release of the National Election Pool exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election conducted by Edison research. This market will resolve to “Harris” if Kamala Harris wins a greater share of voters who decided in the last month than Donald Trump in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to “Trump” if Donald Trump wins a greater share of voters who decided in the last month than Kamala Harris in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to 50-50 if neither Donald Trump nor Kamala Harris win the plurality of voters who decided in the last month in the 2024 US presidential election. The resolution source for this market will be the CNN release of the Edison research exit poll. If CNN does not release the National Election Pool/Edison research exit poll by November 10, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, the polling numbers from the CBS release of the National Election Pool will be used. If CBS also has not released the poll, alternate releases of the of the National Election Pool will be used. If the National Election Pool/Edison research exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election is not conducted/released by November 20, 2024, 12:00 PM, or if the poll does not provide data on voters who decided in the last month this market will resolve to 50-50. Note: Slight changes in terminology used by the poll will not affect resolution.

提案された結果: Trump

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Trump

This market refers to the CNN release of the National Election Pool exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election conducted by Edison research. This market will resolve to “Harris” if Kamala Harris wins a greater share of voters who decided in the last month than Donald Trump in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to “Trump” if Donald Trump wins a greater share of voters who decided in the last month than Kamala Harris in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to 50-50 if neither Donald Trump nor Kamala Harris win the plurality of voters who decided in the last month in the 2024 US presidential election. The resolution source for this market will be the CNN release of the Edison research exit poll. If CNN does not release the National Election Pool/Edison research exit poll by November 10, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, the polling numbers from the CBS release of the National Election Pool will be used. If CBS also has not released the poll, alternate releases of the of the National Election Pool will be used. If the National Election Pool/Edison research exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election is not conducted/released by November 20, 2024, 12:00 PM, or if the poll does not provide data on voters who decided in the last month this market will resolve to 50-50. Note: Slight changes in terminology used by the poll will not affect resolution.

This market refers to the CNN release of the National Election Pool exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election conducted by Edison research.

This market will resolve to “Harris” if Kamala Harris wins a greater share of voters who decided in the last month than Donald Trump in the 2024 US presidential election.

This market will resolve to “Trump” if Donald Trump wins a greater share of voters who decided in the last month than Kamala Harris in the 2024 US presidential election.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if neither Donald Trump nor Kamala Harris win the plurality of voters who decided in the last month in the 2024 US presidential election.

The resolution source for this market will be the CNN release of the Edison research exit poll. If CNN does not release the National Election Pool/Edison research exit poll by November 10, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, the polling numbers from the CBS release of the National Election Pool will be used. If CBS also has not released the poll, alternate releases of the of the National Election Pool will be used. If the National Election Pool/Edison research exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election is not conducted/released by November 20, 2024, 12:00 PM, or if the poll does not provide data on voters who decided in the last month this market will resolve to 50-50.

Note: Slight changes in terminology used by the poll will not affect resolution.
音量
$40,322
終了日
2024/11/05
マーケット開始日
Oct 28, 2024, 12:14 PM ET
This market refers to the CNN release of the National Election Pool exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election conducted by Edison research. This market will resolve to “Harris” if Kamala Harris wins a greater share of voters who decided in the last month than Donald Trump in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to “Trump” if Donald Trump wins a greater share of voters who decided in the last month than Kamala Harris in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to 50-50 if neither Donald Trump nor Kamala Harris win the plurality of voters who decided in the last month in the 2024 US presidential election. The resolution source for this market will be the CNN release of the Edison research exit poll. If CNN does not release the National Election Pool/Edison research exit poll by November 10, 2024, 12:00 PM ET, the polling numbers from the CBS release of the National Election Pool will be used. If CBS also has not released the poll, alternate releases of the of the National Election Pool will be used. If the National Election Pool/Edison research exit poll for the 2024 U.S. Presidential election is not conducted/released by November 20, 2024, 12:00 PM, or if the poll does not provide data on voters who decided in the last month this market will resolve to 50-50. Note: Slight changes in terminology used by the poll will not affect resolution.

提案された結果: Trump

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Trump

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Who will win late deciders?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Who will win late deciders?」で0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、0¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に0%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Who will win late deciders?」は$40.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Oct 28, 2024のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Who will win late deciders?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

これは非常に拮抗した市場です。「Who will win late deciders?」の現在のリーダーは「Who will win late deciders?」でわずか0%です。どの結果も強い多数派を占めていないため、トレーダーはこれを非常に不確実と見ており、独自の取引機会を提供する可能性があります。これらのオッズはリアルタイムで更新されますので、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Who will win late deciders?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。