Trader consensus in the UFC lightweight division positions Benoît Saint Denis as the clear frontrunner at 51% implied probability to face Paddy Pimblett next, fueled by their explosive performances on the same UFC 304 card in July—Pimblett's third-round submission of Tony Ferguson and Saint Denis's second-round TKO of Renato Moicano—followed by immediate mutual callouts and UFC CEO Dana White's endorsement of the stylistic grappler vs. striker matchup for a potential UFC London headliner in February 2025. Dan Hooker's 28.5% share stems from ongoing rivalry trash talk and his recent activity despite a submission loss to Mateusz Gamrot at UFC 305, while top contenders Arman Tsarukyan and Gamrot (10% each) reflect aspirational title paths amid their eliminator pursuits. Rafael Fiziev lags at 7% due to ongoing knee recovery, and Conor McGregor at 4.1% remains a low-probability dream superfight given his inactivity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ブノワ・サン・ドニ 51%
ダン・フッカー 15%
コナー・マクレガー 11.5%
マテウシュ・ガムロ 9%
$26,416 Vol.
$26,416 Vol.
ブノワ・サン・ドニ
51%
ダン・フッカー
24%
コナー・マクレガー
12%
マテウシュ・ガムロ
16%
ラファエル・フィジエフ
7%
アルマン・ツァルキャニアン
13%
ブノワ・サン・ドニ 51%
ダン・フッカー 15%
コナー・マクレガー 11.5%
マテウシュ・ガムロ 9%
$26,416 Vol.
$26,416 Vol.
ブノワ・サン・ドニ
51%
ダン・フッカー
24%
コナー・マクレガー
12%
マテウシュ・ガムロ
16%
ラファエル・フィジエフ
7%
アルマン・ツァルキャニアン
13%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Paddy Pimblett is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Pimblett is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
マーケット開始日: Feb 2, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the UFC lightweight division positions Benoît Saint Denis as the clear frontrunner at 51% implied probability to face Paddy Pimblett next, fueled by their explosive performances on the same UFC 304 card in July—Pimblett's third-round submission of Tony Ferguson and Saint Denis's second-round TKO of Renato Moicano—followed by immediate mutual callouts and UFC CEO Dana White's endorsement of the stylistic grappler vs. striker matchup for a potential UFC London headliner in February 2025. Dan Hooker's 28.5% share stems from ongoing rivalry trash talk and his recent activity despite a submission loss to Mateusz Gamrot at UFC 305, while top contenders Arman Tsarukyan and Gamrot (10% each) reflect aspirational title paths amid their eliminator pursuits. Rafael Fiziev lags at 7% due to ongoing knee recovery, and Conor McGregor at 4.1% remains a low-probability dream superfight given his inactivity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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