Iran's confirmed participation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, backed by a named preliminary squad and FIFA-approved logistical adjustments, drives the overwhelming market consensus against any replacement. The team shifted its base camp to Tijuana, Mexico, in recent days to address U.S. visa and hosting concerns, with players commuting for group-stage matches at SoFi Stadium and elsewhere. Iranian federation officials and Mexican authorities publicly affirmed the arrangements, while earlier suggestions of Italy or other AFC sides stepping in were firmly rejected by Italian sports officials as inappropriate. Geopolitical tensions or last-minute withdrawals remain the primary theoretical risks that could reopen the market, though current developments show no signs of such disruption.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日No Replacement 96.4%
Other 1.1%
Italy 1.0%
UAE <1%
$59,283 Vol.
$59,283 Vol.
2026/08/31
No Replacement
96%
Other
1%
Italy
1%
UAE
1%
Bolivia
<1%
No Replacement 96.4%
Other 1.1%
Italy 1.0%
UAE <1%
$59,283 Vol.
$59,283 Vol.
2026/08/31
No Replacement
$18,105 Vol.
96%
Other
$4,982 Vol.
1%
Italy
$28,168 Vol.
1%
UAE
$5,257 Vol.
1%
Bolivia
$2,771 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Iran's confirmed participation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, backed by a named preliminary squad and FIFA-approved logistical adjustments, drives the overwhelming market consensus against any replacement. The team shifted its base camp to Tijuana, Mexico, in recent days to address U.S. visa and hosting concerns, with players commuting for group-stage matches at SoFi Stadium and elsewhere. Iranian federation officials and Mexican authorities publicly affirmed the arrangements, while earlier suggestions of Italy or other AFC sides stepping in were firmly rejected by Italian sports officials as inappropriate. Geopolitical tensions or last-minute withdrawals remain the primary theoretical risks that could reopen the market, though current developments show no signs of such disruption.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
音量
$59,283終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Iran's confirmed participation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, backed by a named preliminary squad and FIFA-approved logistical adjustments, drives the overwhelming market consensus against any replacement. The team shifted its base camp to Tijuana, Mexico, in recent days to address U.S. visa and hosting concerns, with players commuting for group-stage matches at SoFi Stadium and elsewhere. Iranian federation officials and Mexican authorities publicly affirmed the arrangements, while earlier suggestions of Italy or other AFC sides stepping in were firmly rejected by Italian sports officials as inappropriate. Geopolitical tensions or last-minute withdrawals remain the primary theoretical risks that could reopen the market, though current developments show no signs of such disruption.
This market will resolve in favor of the men’s national team that is confirmed by FIFA to replace the Football Federation Islamic Republic of Iran (IR) at the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$59,283終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Iran's confirmed participation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, backed by a named preliminary squad and FIFA-approved logistical adjustments, drives the overwhelming market consensus against any replacement. The team shifted its base camp to Tijuana, Mexico, in recent days to address U.S. visa and hosting concerns, with players commuting for group-stage matches at SoFi Stadium and elsewhere. Iranian federation officials and Mexican authorities publicly affirmed the arrangements, while earlier suggestions of Italy or other AFC sides stepping in were firmly rejected by Italian sports officials as inappropriate. Geopolitical tensions or last-minute withdrawals remain the primary theoretical risks that could reopen the market, though current developments show no signs of such disruption.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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