Trader consensus on the Big Bear Valley bald eagle nest cam—featuring viral stars Jackie and Shadow—centers on April 8 (27%) and April 9 (24.5%) as frontrunners for the first eaglet hatch, with April 7 (18.5%) close behind, reflecting tight competition amid hatching variability. The pivotal catalyst: confirmation of the first external pip on the older egg this morning (April 3), preceded by chick chirps yesterday, after pip watch began March 31 on overdue eggs from the pair's second clutch (laid late February following January raven losses). While 24-48 hours post-pip suggests imminent emergence, traders factor in potential delays up to 72 hours due to chick exertion and inconsistent incubation, keeping early dates like April 4-6 under 10%. Live YouTube cam viewership surges as the zip-out phase looms, with resolution hinging on real-time nest developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日When will the first eaglet hatch?
When will the first eaglet hatch?
April 8 27%
April 9 25%
April 7 18%
April 10 11%
新規
$43,422 Vol.
新規
$43,422 Vol.
2026/04/16
April 3
<1%
April 4
1%
April 5
3%
April 6
6%
April 7
18%
April 8
27%
April 9
25%
April 10
11%
April 11
5%
April 12
3%
April 13
1%
April 14
1%
April 15
<1%
April 16
1%
No Hatch before April 17
6%
April 8 27%
April 9 25%
April 7 18%
April 10 11%
新規
$43,422 Vol.
新規
$43,422 Vol.
2026/04/16
April 3
$1,755 Vol.
<1%
April 4
$5,332 Vol.
1%
April 5
$4,511 Vol.
3%
April 6
$3,284 Vol.
6%
April 7
$4,528 Vol.
18%
April 8
$1,463 Vol.
27%
April 9
$2,651 Vol.
25%
April 10
$2,307 Vol.
11%
April 11
$2,782 Vol.
5%
April 12
$1,882 Vol.
3%
April 13
$2,577 Vol.
1%
April 14
$1,266 Vol.
1%
April 15
$996 Vol.
<1%
April 16
$1,192 Vol.
1%
No Hatch before April 17
$6,917 Vol.
6%
The Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam (Cam 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY, Cam 2: https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius) displays a livestream of a wild Bald Eagle nest in Traverse City, Michigan, with three incubating eggs.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.Trader consensus on the Big Bear Valley bald eagle nest cam—featuring viral stars Jackie and Shadow—centers on April 8 (27%) and April 9 (24.5%) as frontrunners for the first eaglet hatch, with April 7 (18.5%) close behind, reflecting tight competition amid hatching variability. The pivotal catalyst: confirmation of the first external pip on the older egg this morning (April 3), preceded by chick chirps yesterday, after pip watch began March 31 on overdue eggs from the pair's second clutch (laid late February following January raven losses). While 24-48 hours post-pip suggests imminent emergence, traders factor in potential delays up to 72 hours due to chick exertion and inconsistent incubation, keeping early dates like April 4-6 under 10%. Live YouTube cam viewership surges as the zip-out phase looms, with resolution hinging on real-time nest developments.
The Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam (Cam 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY, Cam 2: https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius) displays a livestream of a wild Bald Eagle nest in Traverse City, Michigan, with three incubating eggs.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.
マーケット開始日： Apr 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
音量
$43,422終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam (Cam 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY, Cam 2: https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius) displays a livestream of a wild Bald Eagle nest in Traverse City, Michigan, with three incubating eggs.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.Trader consensus on the Big Bear Valley bald eagle nest cam—featuring viral stars Jackie and Shadow—centers on April 8 (27%) and April 9 (24.5%) as frontrunners for the first eaglet hatch, with April 7 (18.5%) close behind, reflecting tight competition amid hatching variability. The pivotal catalyst: confirmation of the first external pip on the older egg this morning (April 3), preceded by chick chirps yesterday, after pip watch began March 31 on overdue eggs from the pair's second clutch (laid late February following January raven losses). While 24-48 hours post-pip suggests imminent emergence, traders factor in potential delays up to 72 hours due to chick exertion and inconsistent incubation, keeping early dates like April 4-6 under 10%. Live YouTube cam viewership surges as the zip-out phase looms, with resolution hinging on real-time nest developments.
The Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam (Cam 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY, Cam 2: https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius) displays a livestream of a wild Bald Eagle nest in Traverse City, Michigan, with three incubating eggs.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.
音量
$43,422終了日
2026/04/16マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Big Bear Valley bald eagle nest cam—featuring viral stars Jackie and Shadow—centers on April 8 (27%) and April 9 (24.5%) as frontrunners for the first eaglet hatch, with April 7 (18.5%) close behind, reflecting tight competition amid hatching variability. The pivotal catalyst: confirmation of the first external pip on the older egg this morning (April 3), preceded by chick chirps yesterday, after pip watch began March 31 on overdue eggs from the pair's second clutch (laid late February following January raven losses). While 24-48 hours post-pip suggests imminent emergence, traders factor in potential delays up to 72 hours due to chick exertion and inconsistent incubation, keeping early dates like April 4-6 under 10%. Live YouTube cam viewership surges as the zip-out phase looms, with resolution hinging on real-time nest developments.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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