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政治·Navalny

What will Biden say during State of the Union?

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政治·Navalny

What will Biden say during State of the Union?

$76,519 Vol.

Mar 6, 2024
Polymarket

$76,519 Vol.

Polymarket
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Trump

$10,502 Vol.

No

Market icon

Folks 4 or more times

$22,245 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

China/Chinese 3 or more times

$2,401 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Border 3 or more times

$4,427 Vol.

Yes

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Ukraine/Ukranian 3 or more times

$3,898 Vol.

Yes

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Bitcoin

$6,290 Vol.

No

Market icon

Ceasefire

$2,833 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

AI/Artificial Intelligence

$8,040 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Fentanyl

$2,217 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Navalny

$3,754 Vol.

No

Market icon

Putin

$1,560 Vol.

Yes

Market icon

Hunter

$4,366 Vol.

No

Market icon

Moon

$3,986 Vol.

No

Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Trump" or "trump" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. E.g. if Biden says "I have a trump card up my sleeve" this market will resolve to "Yes." If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "folks" four or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. In case of ambiguity, the official transcript and other credible sources may also be considered. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "China" or "Chinese" three or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "border" three or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Ukraine" or "Ukranian" three or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Bitcoin" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Ceasefire" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. In case of ambiguity, the official transcript and other credible sources may also be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed words, regardless of the context of their usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "fentanyl" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Navalny" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Putin" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If Biden just says "Vladimir" it will not count for this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Hunter" or "hunter" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Update: Hyphenated compound words will count - non-hyphenated compound words will not count. For example, “Chinese-made” will count as saying “Chinese”, but “moonshot” will not count as saying “moon”. If it is unclear whether Biden said a compound/hyphenated word, the transcript will be used. Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Moon" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Trump" or "trump" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. E.g. if Biden says "I have a trump card up my sleeve" this market will resolve to "Yes." If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "folks" four or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. In case of ambiguity, the official transcript and other credible sources may also be considered. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "China" or "Chinese" three or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "border" three or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Ukraine" or "Ukranian" three or more times during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Bitcoin" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Ceasefire" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. In case of ambiguity, the official transcript and other credible sources may also be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed words, regardless of the context of their usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "fentanyl" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Navalny" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Putin" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If Biden just says "Vladimir" it will not count for this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Hunter" or "hunter" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Update: Hyphenated compound words will count - non-hyphenated compound words will not count. For example, “Chinese-made” will count as saying “Chinese”, but “moonshot” will not count as saying “moon”. If it is unclear whether Biden said a compound/hyphenated word, the transcript will be used. Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Moon" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

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よくある質問

「What will Biden say during State of the Union?」はPolymarket上の13個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Folks 4 or more times」で100%、次いで「 China/Chinese 3 or more times」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「What will Biden say during State of the Union?」は$76.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 6, 2024のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「What will Biden say during State of the Union?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている13個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「What will Biden say during State of the Union?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Folks 4 or more times」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「 China/Chinese 3 or more times」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「What will Biden say during State of the Union?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。