Market icon

WA -03優勝者

Market icon

WA -03優勝者

NEW
Aug 4, 2026
Polymarket

$808 Vol.

Polymarket

マリー・グルーゼンカンプ・ペレス

$0 Vol.

91%

ジョン・ブラウン

$808 Vol.

80%

スザンナ・V・タナー

$0 Vol.

39%

アントニー・バラン

$0 Vol.

31%

ブレント・ヘンリッチ

$0 Vol.

22%

エリック・ヴォーン

$0 Vol.

9%

ローレンス・ケロッグ

$0 Vol.

9%

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on August 6 will advance the leading two candidates to the general election regardless of party, pitting incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez against Republican challengers like Joe Kent in this battleground seat Trump won narrowly in 2020. Perez maintains a polling edge per recent aggregates, bolstered by strong fundraising and endorsements from labor unions and local business groups, while Kent leverages national GOP support criticizing her border security votes. No major catalysts emerged in the past week, but independent turnout and rural conservative mobilization could sway results; monitor final pre-election polls and early voting trends for shifts in trader consensus.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
音量
$808
終了日
Aug 4, 2026
マーケット開始日
Dec 18, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on August 6 will advance the leading two candidates to the general election regardless of party, pitting incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez against Republican challengers like Joe Kent in this battleground seat Trump won narrowly in 2020. Perez maintains a polling edge per recent aggregates, bolstered by strong fundraising and endorsements from labor unions and local business groups, while Kent leverages national GOP support criticizing her border security votes. No major catalysts emerged in the past week, but independent turnout and rural conservative mobilization could sway results; monitor final pre-election polls and early voting trends for shifts in trader consensus.

Washington's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on August 6 will advance the leading two candidates to the general election regardless of party, pitting incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez against Republican challengers like Joe Kent in this battleground seat Trump won narrowly in 2020. Perez maintains a polling edge per recent aggregates, bolstered by strong fundraising and endorsements from labor unions and local business groups, while Kent leverages national GOP support criticizing her border security votes. No major catalysts emerged in the past week, but independent turnout and rural conservative mobilization could sway results; monitor final pre-election polls and early voting trends for shifts in trader consensus.

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よくある質問

「WA -03優勝者」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「マリー・グルーゼンカンプ・ペレス」で91%、次いで「ジョン・ブラウン」が80%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、91¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に91%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「WA -03優勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Dec 18, 2025開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「WA -03優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「WA -03優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「マリー・グルーゼンカンプ・ペレス」で91%であり、市場がこの結果に91%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ジョン・ブラウン」で80%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「WA -03優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。