Washington's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on August 6 will advance the leading two candidates to the general election regardless of party, pitting incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez against Republican challengers like Joe Kent in this battleground seat Trump won narrowly in 2020. Perez maintains a polling edge per recent aggregates, bolstered by strong fundraising and endorsements from labor unions and local business groups, while Kent leverages national GOP support criticizing her border security votes. No major catalysts emerged in the past week, but independent turnout and rural conservative mobilization could sway results; monitor final pre-election polls and early voting trends for shifts in trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日マリー・グルーゼンカンプ・ペレス
91%
ジョン・ブラウン
80%
スザンナ・V・タナー
39%
アントニー・バラン
31%
ブレント・ヘンリッチ
22%
エリック・ヴォーン
9%
ローレンス・ケロッグ
9%
$808 Vol.
マリー・グルーゼンカンプ・ペレス
91%
ジョン・ブラウン
80%
スザンナ・V・タナー
39%
アントニー・バラン
31%
ブレント・ヘンリッチ
22%
エリック・ヴォーン
9%
ローレンス・ケロッグ
9%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
マーケット開始日: Dec 18, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Washington's 3rd Congressional District top-two primary on August 6 will advance the leading two candidates to the general election regardless of party, pitting incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez against Republican challengers like Joe Kent in this battleground seat Trump won narrowly in 2020. Perez maintains a polling edge per recent aggregates, bolstered by strong fundraising and endorsements from labor unions and local business groups, while Kent leverages national GOP support criticizing her border security votes. No major catalysts emerged in the past week, but independent turnout and rural conservative mobilization could sway results; monitor final pre-election polls and early voting trends for shifts in trader consensus.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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