Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds a commanding lead in the VMA Best Pop market at 66% implied probability, driven by her nine total nominations, the track’s strong commercial performance from the Life of a Showgirl era, and her unmatched VMA history with 30 prior wins. The August 18 nominations placed her alongside Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Olivia Rodrigo, Charli XCX, LISA, and Tate McRae in the category, yet Swift’s broader industry narrative and fan-voting strength create separation. With the Sept. 27 ceremony just days away and fan voting open through Sept. 25, momentum from recent chart and streaming data continues to favor the frontrunner while leaving room for late shifts typical in entertainment awards.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日VMAベストポップ2026
VMAベストポップ2026
The Fate of Ophelia（テイラー・スウィフト） 66%
House Tour（サブリナ・カーペンター） 33%
Nobody's Girl（テイト・マクレー） 13%
Drop Dead（オリヴィア・ロドリゴ） 11%
新規
新規
2026/09/27
The Fate of Ophelia（テイラー・スウィフト）
66%
House Tour（サブリナ・カーペンター）
33%
Nobody's Girl（テイト・マクレー）
13%
Drop Dead（オリヴィア・ロドリゴ）
11%
Hate That I Made You Love Me（アリアナ・グランデ）
9%
Dream（リサ feat. 坂口健太郎）
8%
SS26（チャーリーXCX）
7%
The Fate of Ophelia（テイラー・スウィフト） 66%
House Tour（サブリナ・カーペンター） 33%
Nobody's Girl（テイト・マクレー） 13%
Drop Dead（オリヴィア・ロドリゴ） 11%
新規
新規
2026/09/27
The Fate of Ophelia（テイラー・スウィフト）
$20 Vol.
66%
House Tour（サブリナ・カーペンター）
$0 Vol.
33%
Nobody's Girl（テイト・マクレー）
$0 Vol.
13%
Drop Dead（オリヴィア・ロドリゴ）
$0 Vol.
11%
Hate That I Made You Love Me（アリアナ・グランデ）
$0 Vol.
9%
Dream（リサ feat. 坂口健太郎）
$0 Vol.
8%
SS26（チャーリーXCX）
$0 Vol.
7%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds a commanding lead in the VMA Best Pop market at 66% implied probability, driven by her nine total nominations, the track’s strong commercial performance from the Life of a Showgirl era, and her unmatched VMA history with 30 prior wins. The August 18 nominations placed her alongside Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Olivia Rodrigo, Charli XCX, LISA, and Tate McRae in the category, yet Swift’s broader industry narrative and fan-voting strength create separation. With the Sept. 27 ceremony just days away and fan voting open through Sept. 25, momentum from recent chart and streaming data continues to favor the frontrunner while leaving room for late shifts typical in entertainment awards.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
音量
$20終了日
2026/09/28マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds a commanding lead in the VMA Best Pop market at 66% implied probability, driven by her nine total nominations, the track’s strong commercial performance from the Life of a Showgirl era, and her unmatched VMA history with 30 prior wins. The August 18 nominations placed her alongside Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Olivia Rodrigo, Charli XCX, LISA, and Tate McRae in the category, yet Swift’s broader industry narrative and fan-voting strength create separation. With the Sept. 27 ceremony just days away and fan voting open through Sept. 25, momentum from recent chart and streaming data continues to favor the frontrunner while leaving room for late shifts typical in entertainment awards.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Pop when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$20終了日
2026/09/28マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds a commanding lead in the VMA Best Pop market at 66% implied probability, driven by her nine total nominations, the track’s strong commercial performance from the Life of a Showgirl era, and her unmatched VMA history with 30 prior wins. The August 18 nominations placed her alongside Ariana Grande, Sabrina Carpenter, Olivia Rodrigo, Charli XCX, LISA, and Tate McRae in the category, yet Swift’s broader industry narrative and fan-voting strength create separation. With the Sept. 27 ceremony just days away and fan voting open through Sept. 25, momentum from recent chart and streaming data continues to favor the frontrunner while leaving room for late shifts typical in entertainment awards.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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