Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds the market’s strongest position at 44% implied probability ahead of the September 27 VMAs, reflecting her consistent fan-voting edge and the video’s prominent placement among the six Best Editing nominees. Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me” and Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” sit close behind at 23% and 20%, buoyed by strong overall nomination totals and established pop audiences. LISA’s “Dream” and Sabrina Carpenter’s “House Tour” trail at lower odds, typical for this fan-driven category where recent streaming metrics and social engagement often sway late ballots. With voting closing September 25, traders are watching for any final shifts in online momentum or celebrity endorsements that could alter the tight field before the Peacock Theater ceremony.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日VMAベストエディティング2026
VMAベストエディティング2026
Hate That I Made You Love Me（アリアナ・グランデ） 48%
Dream（リサ feat.坂口健太郎） 48%
The Fate of Ophelia（テイラー・スウィフト） 44%
House Tour（サブリナ・カーペンター） 42%
新規
新規
2026/09/27
Hate That I Made You Love Me（アリアナ・グランデ）
48%
Dream（リサ feat.坂口健太郎）
48%
The Fate of Ophelia（テイラー・スウィフト）
44%
House Tour（サブリナ・カーペンター）
42%
I Just Might（ブルーノ・マーズ）
39%
Confessions II – The Film（マドンナ）
20%
Hate That I Made You Love Me（アリアナ・グランデ） 48%
Dream（リサ feat.坂口健太郎） 48%
The Fate of Ophelia（テイラー・スウィフト） 44%
House Tour（サブリナ・カーペンター） 42%
新規
新規
2026/09/27
Hate That I Made You Love Me（アリアナ・グランデ）
$0 Vol.
48%
Dream（リサ feat.坂口健太郎）
$0 Vol.
48%
The Fate of Ophelia（テイラー・スウィフト）
$0 Vol.
44%
House Tour（サブリナ・カーペンター）
$20 Vol.
42%
I Just Might（ブルーノ・マーズ）
$17 Vol.
39%
Confessions II – The Film（マドンナ）
$349 Vol.
20%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Editing.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Editing when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds the market’s strongest position at 44% implied probability ahead of the September 27 VMAs, reflecting her consistent fan-voting edge and the video’s prominent placement among the six Best Editing nominees. Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me” and Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” sit close behind at 23% and 20%, buoyed by strong overall nomination totals and established pop audiences. LISA’s “Dream” and Sabrina Carpenter’s “House Tour” trail at lower odds, typical for this fan-driven category where recent streaming metrics and social engagement often sway late ballots. With voting closing September 25, traders are watching for any final shifts in online momentum or celebrity endorsements that could alter the tight field before the Peacock Theater ceremony.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Editing.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Editing when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Editing.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Editing when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
音量
$386終了日
2026/09/28マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 5:57 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Editing.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Editing when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds the market’s strongest position at 44% implied probability ahead of the September 27 VMAs, reflecting her consistent fan-voting edge and the video’s prominent placement among the six Best Editing nominees. Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me” and Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” sit close behind at 23% and 20%, buoyed by strong overall nomination totals and established pop audiences. LISA’s “Dream” and Sabrina Carpenter’s “House Tour” trail at lower odds, typical for this fan-driven category where recent streaming metrics and social engagement often sway late ballots. With voting closing September 25, traders are watching for any final shifts in online momentum or celebrity endorsements that could alter the tight field before the Peacock Theater ceremony.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Editing.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Editing when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Editing.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Editing when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$386終了日
2026/09/28マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 5:57 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Taylor Swift’s “The Fate of Ophelia” holds the market’s strongest position at 44% implied probability ahead of the September 27 VMAs, reflecting her consistent fan-voting edge and the video’s prominent placement among the six Best Editing nominees. Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me” and Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” sit close behind at 23% and 20%, buoyed by strong overall nomination totals and established pop audiences. LISA’s “Dream” and Sabrina Carpenter’s “House Tour” trail at lower odds, typical for this fan-driven category where recent streaming metrics and social engagement often sway late ballots. With voting closing September 25, traders are watching for any final shifts in online momentum or celebrity endorsements that could alter the tight field before the Peacock Theater ceremony.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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