Sienna Spiro and Cortis sit atop the VMA Best New Artist market at 50% and 38% implied probability, respectively, in a tight contest driven by fan voting that remains open through the September 27 ceremony. Spiro’s recent confirmation as a performer, combined with strong Billboard 200 debut for her album *Visitor* and over a billion global streams, has solidified trader consensus around her crossover appeal and Grammy momentum. Cortis benefits from organized K-pop fandom support and multiple nominations, while Myles Smith at 25.6% reflects solid radio traction but less viral heat. The remaining nominees trail sharply, highlighting how chart performance, streaming velocity, and social-media mobilization can still shift outcomes in the final week before the live Moon Person reveal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日VMAベストニューアーティスト2026
VMAベストニューアーティスト2026
シエナ・スピロ 50%
コーティス 38%
マイルズ・スミス 7.7%
マルコム・トッド 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/27
シエナ・スピロ
50%
コーティス
38%
マイルズ・スミス
8%
マルコム・トッド
5%
ステラ・レフティ
5%
マグナス・フェレル
4%
ベラ・ケイ
4%
シエナ・スピロ 50%
コーティス 38%
マイルズ・スミス 7.7%
マルコム・トッド 5%
新規
新規
2026/09/27
シエナ・スピロ
$20 Vol.
50%
コーティス
$20 Vol.
38%
マイルズ・スミス
$6 Vol.
8%
マルコム・トッド
$1 Vol.
5%
ステラ・レフティ
$0 Vol.
5%
マグナス・フェレル
$40 Vol.
4%
ベラ・ケイ
$21 Vol.
4%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sienna Spiro and Cortis sit atop the VMA Best New Artist market at 50% and 38% implied probability, respectively, in a tight contest driven by fan voting that remains open through the September 27 ceremony. Spiro’s recent confirmation as a performer, combined with strong Billboard 200 debut for her album *Visitor* and over a billion global streams, has solidified trader consensus around her crossover appeal and Grammy momentum. Cortis benefits from organized K-pop fandom support and multiple nominations, while Myles Smith at 25.6% reflects solid radio traction but less viral heat. The remaining nominees trail sharply, highlighting how chart performance, streaming velocity, and social-media mobilization can still shift outcomes in the final week before the live Moon Person reveal.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
音量
$108終了日
2026/09/28マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sienna Spiro and Cortis sit atop the VMA Best New Artist market at 50% and 38% implied probability, respectively, in a tight contest driven by fan voting that remains open through the September 27 ceremony. Spiro’s recent confirmation as a performer, combined with strong Billboard 200 debut for her album *Visitor* and over a billion global streams, has solidified trader consensus around her crossover appeal and Grammy momentum. Cortis benefits from organized K-pop fandom support and multiple nominations, while Myles Smith at 25.6% reflects solid radio traction but less viral heat. The remaining nominees trail sharply, highlighting how chart performance, streaming velocity, and social-media mobilization can still shift outcomes in the final week before the live Moon Person reveal.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist who wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist.
If an artist was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best New Artist when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$108終了日
2026/09/28マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Sienna Spiro and Cortis sit atop the VMA Best New Artist market at 50% and 38% implied probability, respectively, in a tight contest driven by fan voting that remains open through the September 27 ceremony. Spiro’s recent confirmation as a performer, combined with strong Billboard 200 debut for her album *Visitor* and over a billion global streams, has solidified trader consensus around her crossover appeal and Grammy momentum. Cortis benefits from organized K-pop fandom support and multiple nominations, while Myles Smith at 25.6% reflects solid radio traction but less viral heat. The remaining nominees trail sharply, highlighting how chart performance, streaming velocity, and social-media mobilization can still shift outcomes in the final week before the live Moon Person reveal.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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