Sombr’s “Homewrecker” holds a narrow lead in the Best Alternative market at 52.5% implied probability, driven by the rising artist’s recent chart momentum, arena tour buzz, and prior alternative wins that position him as the current genre frontrunner. The field remains tightly contested among the seven nominees, with Olivia Rodrigo’s “The Cure” at 41% and lower odds for Noah Kahan, Twenty One Pilots, Tame Impala, Geese, and the MGK-Fred Durst collab reflecting fan-voting dynamics ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Traders weigh streaming trajectories, live performance visibility, and historical VMA patterns favoring breakout acts over established names in this category, where late voting surges or crossover appeal could still shift outcomes before polls close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日VMAベストオルタナティブ2026
VMAベストオルタナティブ2026
Homewrecker（Sombr） 54%
The Cure（オリヴィア・ロドリゴ） 41%
Drag Path（トゥエンティ・ワン・パイロッツ） 19%
The Great Divide（ノア・カーン） 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/27
Homewrecker（Sombr）
54%
The Cure（オリヴィア・ロドリゴ）
41%
Drag Path（トゥエンティ・ワン・パイロッツ）
19%
The Great Divide（ノア・カーン）
14%
Dracula（Tame Impala）
7%
Fix Ur Face（MGKとフレッド・ダースト）
7%
Taxes（Geese）
5%
Homewrecker（Sombr） 54%
The Cure（オリヴィア・ロドリゴ） 41%
Drag Path（トゥエンティ・ワン・パイロッツ） 19%
The Great Divide（ノア・カーン） 14%
新規
新規
2026/09/27
Homewrecker（Sombr）
$61 Vol.
54%
The Cure（オリヴィア・ロドリゴ）
$907 Vol.
41%
Drag Path（トゥエンティ・ワン・パイロッツ）
$170 Vol.
19%
The Great Divide（ノア・カーン）
$58 Vol.
14%
Dracula（Tame Impala）
$21 Vol.
7%
Fix Ur Face（MGKとフレッド・ダースト）
$0 Vol.
7%
Taxes（Geese）
$138 Vol.
5%
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sombr’s “Homewrecker” holds a narrow lead in the Best Alternative market at 52.5% implied probability, driven by the rising artist’s recent chart momentum, arena tour buzz, and prior alternative wins that position him as the current genre frontrunner. The field remains tightly contested among the seven nominees, with Olivia Rodrigo’s “The Cure” at 41% and lower odds for Noah Kahan, Twenty One Pilots, Tame Impala, Geese, and the MGK-Fred Durst collab reflecting fan-voting dynamics ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Traders weigh streaming trajectories, live performance visibility, and historical VMA patterns favoring breakout acts over established names in this category, where late voting surges or crossover appeal could still shift outcomes before polls close.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
音量
$1,355終了日
2026/09/28マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sombr’s “Homewrecker” holds a narrow lead in the Best Alternative market at 52.5% implied probability, driven by the rising artist’s recent chart momentum, arena tour buzz, and prior alternative wins that position him as the current genre frontrunner. The field remains tightly contested among the seven nominees, with Olivia Rodrigo’s “The Cure” at 41% and lower odds for Noah Kahan, Twenty One Pilots, Tame Impala, Geese, and the MGK-Fred Durst collab reflecting fan-voting dynamics ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Traders weigh streaming trajectories, live performance visibility, and historical VMA patterns favoring breakout acts over established names in this category, where late voting surges or crossover appeal could still shift outcomes before polls close.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Alternative when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,355終了日
2026/09/28マーケット開始日
Sep 18, 2026, 5:56 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Sombr’s “Homewrecker” holds a narrow lead in the Best Alternative market at 52.5% implied probability, driven by the rising artist’s recent chart momentum, arena tour buzz, and prior alternative wins that position him as the current genre frontrunner. The field remains tightly contested among the seven nominees, with Olivia Rodrigo’s “The Cure” at 41% and lower odds for Noah Kahan, Twenty One Pilots, Tame Impala, Geese, and the MGK-Fred Durst collab reflecting fan-voting dynamics ahead of the September 27 ceremony. Traders weigh streaming trajectories, live performance visibility, and historical VMA patterns favoring breakout acts over established names in this category, where late voting surges or crossover appeal could still shift outcomes before polls close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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