Virginia's 11th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, with the party's nominee holding a commanding position for the 2026 general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 reflects consistent margins favoring Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a September 2025 special election with 75% of the vote after Gerry Connolly's passing, demonstrating robust voter support and fundraising advantages. Mid-decade redistricting approved by voters further reinforced the district's partisan tilt. These factors align with trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 95%, though primary challenges or unexpected turnout shifts could alter dynamics ahead of November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,977 Vol.
$18,977 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$18,977 Vol.
$18,977 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$12,275 Vol.
95%
共和党
$6,702 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 11th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, with the party's nominee holding a commanding position for the 2026 general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 reflects consistent margins favoring Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a September 2025 special election with 75% of the vote after Gerry Connolly's passing, demonstrating robust voter support and fundraising advantages. Mid-decade redistricting approved by voters further reinforced the district's partisan tilt. These factors align with trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 95%, though primary challenges or unexpected turnout shifts could alter dynamics ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$18,977終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 11th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, with the party's nominee holding a commanding position for the 2026 general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 reflects consistent margins favoring Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a September 2025 special election with 75% of the vote after Gerry Connolly's passing, demonstrating robust voter support and fundraising advantages. Mid-decade redistricting approved by voters further reinforced the district's partisan tilt. These factors align with trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 95%, though primary challenges or unexpected turnout shifts could alter dynamics ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,977終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 11th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, with the party's nominee holding a commanding position for the 2026 general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 reflects consistent margins favoring Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a September 2025 special election with 75% of the vote after Gerry Connolly's passing, demonstrating robust voter support and fundraising advantages. Mid-decade redistricting approved by voters further reinforced the district's partisan tilt. These factors align with trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 95%, though primary challenges or unexpected turnout shifts could alter dynamics ahead of November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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