Southwest Virginia’s 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Morgan Griffith, first elected in 2010, faces a Republican primary but holds a clear path to the general election on November 3, 2026. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the August 4 primary, yet the district’s voting patterns and limited opposition resources sustain the wide gap in trader positioning. A major shift would require an unforeseen development such as a significant scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or dramatic change in national political conditions before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$42,915 Vol.
$42,915 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
92%
民主党
7%
$42,915 Vol.
$42,915 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$33,495 Vol.
92%
民主党
$9,420 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Southwest Virginia’s 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Morgan Griffith, first elected in 2010, faces a Republican primary but holds a clear path to the general election on November 3, 2026. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the August 4 primary, yet the district’s voting patterns and limited opposition resources sustain the wide gap in trader positioning. A major shift would require an unforeseen development such as a significant scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or dramatic change in national political conditions before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$42,915終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Southwest Virginia’s 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Morgan Griffith, first elected in 2010, faces a Republican primary but holds a clear path to the general election on November 3, 2026. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the August 4 primary, yet the district’s voting patterns and limited opposition resources sustain the wide gap in trader positioning. A major shift would require an unforeseen development such as a significant scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or dramatic change in national political conditions before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$42,915終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Southwest Virginia’s 9th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Morgan Griffith, first elected in 2010, faces a Republican primary but holds a clear path to the general election on November 3, 2026. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the August 4 primary, yet the district’s voting patterns and limited opposition resources sustain the wide gap in trader positioning. A major shift would require an unforeseen development such as a significant scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or dramatic change in national political conditions before Election Day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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