Following Max Holloway's third-round knockout loss to Ilia Topuria at UFC 308, relinquishing the BMF title and featherweight belt, the Hawaiian eyes a permanent lightweight shift, sparking trader consensus around top contenders with 29.5% on Conor McGregor amid his star power and past trilogy intrigue, 25.5% on Benoît Saint Denis after his dominant submission of Renato Moicano in September, 23% on Paddy Pimblett post his UFC 309 first-round tapout of the same opponent and subsequent callout, and 22% on Dan Hooker seeking lightweight trilogy revenge. The bunched probabilities reflect the crowded 155-pound contender ranks, recent momentum from European risers like Saint Denis and Pimblett, Hooker's stylistic familiarity, and UFC matchmaking uncertainty absent an official announcement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日パディ・ピンブレット 35%
ブノワ・サン・ドニ 31%
コナー・マクレガー 30%
ダン・フッカー 22%
$20,521 Vol.
$20,521 Vol.
Mar 1, 2027
パディ・ピンブレット
23%
ブノワ・サン・ドニ
25%
コナー・マクレガー
30%
ダン・フッカー
22%
アレクサンダー・ヴォルカノフスキー
21%
イスラム・マカチェフ
20%
マテウシュ・ガムロト
12%
アルマン・ツァルキヤン
15%
マウリシオ・ルッフィ
7%
ジャスティン・ゲイジー
6%
イリア・トプリア
4%
パディ・ピンブレット 35%
ブノワ・サン・ドニ 31%
コナー・マクレガー 30%
ダン・フッカー 22%
$20,521 Vol.
$20,521 Vol.
Mar 1, 2027
パディ・ピンブレット
$0 Vol.
23%
ブノワ・サン・ドニ
$44 Vol.
25%
コナー・マクレガー
$608 Vol.
30%
ダン・フッカー
$19,869 Vol.
22%
アレクサンダー・ヴォルカノフスキー
$0 Vol.
21%
イスラム・マカチェフ
$0 Vol.
20%
マテウシュ・ガムロト
$0 Vol.
12%
アルマン・ツァルキヤン
$0 Vol.
15%
マウリシオ・ルッフィ
$0 Vol.
7%
ジャスティン・ゲイジー
$0 Vol.
6%
イリア・トプリア
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
マーケット開始日： Mar 6, 2026, 7:30 PM ET
音量
$20,521終了日
Mar 1, 2027マーケット開始日
Mar 6, 2026, 7:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Max Holloway is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Max Holloway is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
音量
$20,521終了日
Mar 1, 2027マーケット開始日
Mar 6, 2026, 7:30 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Following Max Holloway's third-round knockout loss to Ilia Topuria at UFC 308, relinquishing the BMF title and featherweight belt, the Hawaiian eyes a permanent lightweight shift, sparking trader consensus around top contenders with 29.5% on Conor McGregor amid his star power and past trilogy intrigue, 25.5% on Benoît Saint Denis after his dominant submission of Renato Moicano in September, 23% on Paddy Pimblett post his UFC 309 first-round tapout of the same opponent and subsequent callout, and 22% on Dan Hooker seeking lightweight trilogy revenge. The bunched probabilities reflect the crowded 155-pound contender ranks, recent momentum from European risers like Saint Denis and Pimblett, Hooker's stylistic familiarity, and UFC matchmaking uncertainty absent an official announcement.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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