Incumbent Democrat Henry Cuellar's pardon by President Trump in December 2025 and his March 3 primary victory with 58% of the vote have solidified trader consensus favoring Democrats at 68% in the TX-28 House race, reflecting his resilience in the South Texas border district despite past bribery charges. Republican nominee Tano Tijerina, Webb County Judge who dominated his primary at 74%, faces an uphill battle in a Cook Political Report-rated Lean Democratic seat, where Cuellar won 53% in 2024 amid Hispanic voter loyalty and a slight Democratic partisan lean. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports show Cuellar holding a cash-on-hand edge ($764,000 vs. Tijerina's $577,000 as of mid-April), underscoring limited GOP momentum ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
67%
共和党
35%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$1,055 Vol.
67%
共和党
$231 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Henry Cuellar's pardon by President Trump in December 2025 and his March 3 primary victory with 58% of the vote have solidified trader consensus favoring Democrats at 68% in the TX-28 House race, reflecting his resilience in the South Texas border district despite past bribery charges. Republican nominee Tano Tijerina, Webb County Judge who dominated his primary at 74%, faces an uphill battle in a Cook Political Report-rated Lean Democratic seat, where Cuellar won 53% in 2024 amid Hispanic voter loyalty and a slight Democratic partisan lean. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports show Cuellar holding a cash-on-hand edge ($764,000 vs. Tijerina's $577,000 as of mid-April), underscoring limited GOP momentum ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
音量
$1,286終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Henry Cuellar's pardon by President Trump in December 2025 and his March 3 primary victory with 58% of the vote have solidified trader consensus favoring Democrats at 68% in the TX-28 House race, reflecting his resilience in the South Texas border district despite past bribery charges. Republican nominee Tano Tijerina, Webb County Judge who dominated his primary at 74%, faces an uphill battle in a Cook Political Report-rated Lean Democratic seat, where Cuellar won 53% in 2024 amid Hispanic voter loyalty and a slight Democratic partisan lean. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports show Cuellar holding a cash-on-hand edge ($764,000 vs. Tijerina's $577,000 as of mid-April), underscoring limited GOP momentum ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$1,286終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Henry Cuellar's pardon by President Trump in December 2025 and his March 3 primary victory with 58% of the vote have solidified trader consensus favoring Democrats at 68% in the TX-28 House race, reflecting his resilience in the South Texas border district despite past bribery charges. Republican nominee Tano Tijerina, Webb County Judge who dominated his primary at 74%, faces an uphill battle in a Cook Political Report-rated Lean Democratic seat, where Cuellar won 53% in 2024 amid Hispanic voter loyalty and a slight Democratic partisan lean. Recent first-quarter fundraising reports show Cuellar holding a cash-on-hand edge ($764,000 vs. Tijerina's $577,000 as of mid-April), underscoring limited GOP momentum ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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